TrueAce13
Tuesday, October 20th, 2009, 11:56 AM
QUOTE (SwolyswoND @ Tuesday, October 20th, 2009, 8:58 AM)

16 combos of AK, 14 combos of AQ (discounted from 16 as I don't think villains ALWAYS 3bet shove that here). This is never AJ/AT/KQ IMO. = 30 we flip with
6 combos of each PP TT-AA = 30 we are crushed 80/20
so we should have approximately 35% equity against his range. Hero has to call 2100 to win 3300, so the math sure makes this look like a fold.
By the way, how can you possibly "call this a flip?" Do you not think Villain would shove TT-AA?
Edit: sorry, outsider already did teh maffs for me.Do we really think villain would bother making a move on my iso when he is 2nd in chips by a decent margin, against the only player he can bust against? I doubt it.
Swolys, I think you are giving a bit too much credit to villain's hand range here. I mean, if he is somewhat competent, i think his hand range goes up to a lot of pairs, KJ,KQ, maybe other broadways b/c of your iso raise. I going only to TT-AA is not right b/c he can even do this with smaller pairs too.
Now again, I think it is a really gross spot, and I'm not saying this is a call or anything, I think we should fold, but i do believe that we can't disregard the fact this his range is a bit wider than just monsters