Luke00016
Tuesday, October 6th, 2009, 3:30 PM
QUOTE (SwolyswoND @ Tuesday, October 6th, 2009, 8:06 AM)

Isn't 55-99 going to fold to a flop cbet like 95% of the time? My 3bet range would crush that range on this flop...he'd have to hope I had KQ or some lower PP.
I think if he were to check behind on the flop, I'd probably lead the turn a little less than 1/2 pot and just hope he has a stubborn PP that thinks I'm bluffing now. I think he probably bets the turn very few times even if I check again.
My biggest problem is what to do after his crappy minbet. Villain did bet 360. Now what? I'm never scared of a 4 here, but I can't see an Ace betting this little, so I don't think a c/rAI is too good here. CiB? c/c and then lead turn? I would hate to c/c and then check the turn again.
I agree that middle PP are folding here pretty frequently to a cbet. You're advertising that you aren't scared of that ace, and unless you've been playing crazy so far, he probably wouldn't realistically put you on anything else (although he may be stubborn).
I agree that this line doesn't make a huge amount of sense from villain's perspective. It just feels like one of two things to me. It may be an incredibly small probe bet with a PP, his thinking being that if you missed the ace, you don't have a 4, and if you didn't have a PP he's ahead and you'll go away quietly. That, or he does have an ace, isn't scared of you having a 4, and is just trying to get a few more chips in from you, with him thinking that he's way ahead.
I don't think either of those two lines are particularly good, but I don't really see where else this tiny bet fits.
Unless he's playing AA in the whole (super unlikely), hit his boat and is putting a small bet begging you to call, I don't really see what else his line may be. Of course, that would just be sick.