Tactical Bear
Thursday, August 27th, 2009, 11:49 PM
QUOTE (GWCGWC @ Thursday, August 27th, 2009, 2:24 AM)

He's saying THEY won't make it to the 66th anniversary. He tactically gave some random odds, very calculatively(is that a word?), of 1/500 but then is willing to give an even money bet. I don't wanna kill his action here but it's a sucker bet dude.
Actually, if the odds of one of Gramps/Grannie dying before he/she wakes up is 1/500 each night, then it's almost exactly 50/50 that one of them dies in the next 365 dies. I figured the over/under was about 1 year, and my mathematical instincts told me that 1/500 should make the math work out about right. I just ran the maths and:
(499/500)^365 = about 48%, or about 52% that they don't make it. So shut the fu
ck up, Gramma. Just pass away silently in your sleep so I can get paid.