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Full Version: 100nl Nut Straight Facing 2xpsb On River
FCP Poker Forum > Poker Strategy Forum > No Limit Texas Hold'em Cash Games
SCS
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Full Tilt
SB ($104)
BB ($81.70)
UTG ($20)
UTG+1 ($124)
CO ($134)
Hero ($192)

Dealt to Hero 6 icon_suit_diamond.gif 7 icon_suit_heart.gif

fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.50, fold, BB calls $1.50,

FLOP ($5.50) 2 icon_suit_heart.gif 5 icon_suit_heart.gif 3 icon_suit_heart.gif

check, Hero bets $4, BB calls $4,

TURN ($13.50) 2 icon_suit_heart.gif 5 icon_suit_heart.gif 3 icon_suit_heart.gif 4 icon_suit_diamond.gif

check, Hero bets $9, BB calls $9,

RIVER ($31.50) 2 icon_suit_heart.gif 5 icon_suit_heart.gif 3 icon_suit_heart.gif 4 icon_suit_diamond.gif A icon_suit_diamond.gif

BB bets $66.20 (AI)

Villain was running ~48/30 over 150 hands. No relevant history between us.
tskillz187
This is a bluff or a 6 a tonnnnnnnn, he'd probably give you action before the river with a flush. Snap snap.
Temporary Nuts
I don't like spots like this. Also, I'm a station smile.gif
No_Neck
QUOTE (tskillz187 @ Sunday, July 5th, 2009, 10:41 PM) *
This is a bluff or a 6 a tonnnnnnnn, he'd probably give you action before the river with a flush. Snap snap.


i disagree I think you are going to see a flush most of the time.
SCS
QUOTE (No_Neck @ Monday, July 6th, 2009, 1:18 AM) *
i disagree I think you are going to see a flush most of the time.


Not that it isn't possible, but if villain has a flush he couldn't play it any worse.
Kain8
He's had two opportunities to check-raise you with a flush and didn't do so. Now a wheel is made on the river and he suddenly ships everything in? Smells like he either made a wheel on the turn and is trying to scare you out or he missed hearts and wants the pot badly. If he flopped a flush, good for him, but I'd call pretty happily here.
krup24
QUOTE (SCS @ Monday, July 6th, 2009, 1:33 AM) *
Not that it isn't possible, but if villain has a flush he couldn't play it any worse.


not necessarily. he could've bet turn but i mean if you flop the nuts or a decent flush it's definitely not terribly played.

but i still snap here as well
jmbreslin
It doesn't make a whole lot of sense that he'd slowplay the flopped flush on the flop and turn, and then push the river for 2x pot. But some players play the game in a way that just doesn't make sense.

Is it possible he's playing the board, and thinks Hero is too, so he's pushing in the hopes that Hero will think he might have the flush and give up his board wheel?
tskillz187
QUOTE (krup24 @ Monday, July 6th, 2009, 8:17 AM) *
not necessarily. he could've bet turn but i mean if you flop the nuts or a decent flush it's definitely not terribly played.

but i still snap here as well


It's pretty terrible if he has a flush unless it's like A4hh or 46hh. He badly doesn't want a 4th heart to come if he has a flush. No matter what he has, if he has the nuts, then he won't get paid more, if he has something like 9Thh he obv doesn't want his flush to become much weaker, there are no high hearts on board, so small flushes need to be playing this very aggro.

Over bets are always the nuts, the problem with this is that he shouldn't have the nuts here like at all, it's just played too weird, and he might very well think a 6 is the nuts.
mtdesmoines
call call callcall call callcallcallcalll
Fade2241
Call

icon_biggrin.gif
mtdesmoines
QUOTE (mtdesmoines @ Monday, July 6th, 2009, 12:12 PM) *
call call callcall call callcallcallcalll



The REASONS are that he only has a flush about 25% of the time.
He plays the board and is stealing 25% of the time
He has a 6 less than 10% of the time.
The other 40% of the time, you win outright.
SwolyswoND
QUOTE (mtdesmoines @ Monday, July 6th, 2009, 2:23 PM) *
The REASONS are that he only has a flush about 25% of the time.
He plays the board and is stealing 25% of the time
He has a 6 less than 10% of the time.
The other 40% of the time, you win outright.


Err....what?

Villain either has the flush, a 6, or is playing the board. There are no other possibilities. What is this other 40% you speak of?
tskillz187
LOL. I think he meant playing the board some more?
mtdesmoines
QUOTE (SwolyswoND @ Monday, July 6th, 2009, 2:28 PM) *
Err....what?

Villain either has the flush, a 6, or is playing the board. There are no other possibilities. What is this other 40% you speak of?



Don't complicate my quality post.
Dubey
I read the topic title, and figured this would be a fold, but this situation is a super fist pump-snap-helmuth-do a dance-giggle like a madman call.
DemonDonk
Free money, nice.
DonkSlayer
If you had 65 or A6 it might be close, but as you're only beaten by a flush, it's not. Snap.
NoBBiR
QUOTE (mtdesmoines @ Monday, July 6th, 2009, 10:23 AM) *
The REASONS are that he only has a flush about 25% of the time.
He plays the board and is stealing 25% of the time
He has a 6 less than 10% of the time.
The other 40% of the time, you win outright.



QUOTE (SwolyswoND @ Monday, July 6th, 2009, 11:28 AM) *
Err....what?

Villain either has the flush, a 6, or is playing the board. There are no other possibilities. What is this other 40% you speak of?


I really hate how you both of have red chipstacks as your avatar. I usually glance at avatars instead of names to know which post belongs to who, but you're ****ing up my chi!
SCS
QUOTE (tskillz187 @ Monday, July 6th, 2009, 12:25 PM) *
It's pretty terrible if he has a flush unless it's like A4hh or 46hh. He badly doesn't want a 4th heart to come if he has a flush. No matter what he has, if he has the nuts, then he won't get paid more, if he has something like 9Thh he obv doesn't want his flush to become much weaker, there are no high hearts on board, so small flushes need to be playing this very aggro.

Over bets are always the nuts, the problem with this is that he shouldn't have the nuts here like at all, it's just played too weird, and he might very well think a 6 is the nuts.



Also, I've bet 2 streets on a scary board. So if villain has the flush, he should be shoving the turn because it's highly likely that I will call. Whereas if he waits until the river and it's a heart, I fold out a lot of my range, straights and sets, that would have called a turn raise.


Results - I instacalled, villain had QxTh. Ship the pot.
SwolyswoND
QUOTE (NoBBiR @ Sunday, July 12th, 2009, 8:32 PM) *
I really hate how you both of have red chipstacks as your avatar. I usually glance at avatars instead of names to know which post belongs to who, but you're ****ing up my chi!


You can blame mtdesmoines for that one. I had the chipstack first and he used to have a steelers logo, I believe. icon_biggrin.gif
Temporary Nuts
QUOTE (SwolyswoND @ Monday, July 13th, 2009, 6:26 PM) *
You can blame mtdesmoines for that one. I had the chipstack first and he used to have a steelers logo, I believe. icon_biggrin.gif


This isn't going to help the situation. He already knows he needs to blame the guy with the red chip stack and not the guy with the red chip stack. bubble_duh.gif
NoBBiR
QUOTE (Temporary Nuts @ Monday, July 13th, 2009, 4:56 PM) *
This isn't going to help the situation. He already knows he needs to blame the guy with the red chip stack and not the guy with the red chip stack. bubble_duh.gif


LOL icon_clap.gif
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