Jada's post got me thinking. Here is a list of the top 15 most likely Hall of Famers (active players only ) from basketball-reference.com.
The question:
If they retired TODAY, who's in, who's out?
If you want to expand by talking about who you think will get in based off of their future performance, that's cool...but I don't see how there's anyway to know right now if Gilbert Arenas will end up being a Hall of Famer.
1. Shaquille O'Neal 1.0000
2. Tim Duncan 1.0000
3. Kobe Bryant 1.0000
4. Kevin Garnett 1.0000
5. Allen Iverson 1.0000
6. LeBron James 0.9993
7. Dirk Nowitzki 0.9984
8. Steve Nash 0.9972
9. Jason Kidd 0.9842
10. Tracy McGrady 0.9782
11. Paul Pierce 0.9386
12. Ray Allen 0.9085
13. Vince Carter 0.8975
14. Grant Hill 0.7951
15. Tony Parker 0.5793
16. Gilbert Arenas 0.5431
I don't have much time so I'll add more thoughts later.
The top 5 are in. Lebron would be close, if you want to give someone the "Jim Brown" effect I think he's in too. Dirk and Nash are probably in though I think they are both overrated. Kidd is in for sure. McGrady...really? I guess he had 4 or 5 dominant scoring years but I didn't expect to see him here. I'm 50/50 on him but the probablity here says he's almost certainly getting in. Pierce is probably in and with another title he's 100% in. Same goes for Allen. Carter...eh. Again, had some huge seasons but I wouldn't vote him in. The last three are certainly not in in my eyes (I guess I could have left the last two off the list)
What do you think?
