akishore
Thursday, May 19th, 2005, 8:31 AM
QUOTE (Devilkin)
Clarkmeister's Theorem.
Conditions:
1) you are out of position
2) the river is the 4th flush card
What to do:
bet with the intention of folding to a raise
Reasons:
- the 4th flush card will slow anyone down
- if they raise, they beat you. no one would bluff raise this.
- if you check, they will bluff and you must call.
- if you bet, they might make the incorrect fold.
Sounds like an ideal place to throw out a bet and see where you stand.
Dev
i disagree with the bolded part. i've seen donks do the donkiest things online.
i don't completely think it's a correct theorem against aggressive players, but against passive players, i think it's 110% correct. it goes hand-in-hand with the idea of value betting hard against passive players.
against a passive opponent who will check without the flush (if you check), you're losing a bet. against a passive opponent who will bet or raise with the flush, you're losing nothing since you're folding to a raise.
but against an aggressive opponent, it's way wrong to fold to a raise in this gigantic of a pot. i really would never do this against an aggressive opponent. i'd check-call because it's likely that my aggressive opponent might even bluff, and so i'm still getting in a bet when i have the best hand, and i'm still losing just one bet when i'm beat.
if your opponent was passive, it's correct. but if he was aggressive, i don't like the bet-fold line one bit on the river. to fold in this big of a pot getting 13-to-1 against an aggressive opponent (that's key: aggressive opponent) is wrong, i think.
aseem