JCarver
Thursday, December 11th, 2008, 12:19 PM
QUOTE (inheritance @ Thursday, December 11th, 2008, 12:36 PM)

This hand kind of surprised me. From what I recall, you never really considered folding. With how loose he's been playing, surely you are able to find a better spot then this situation. I mean at this point of the tournament, you are in a good situation, and must think you're the best player on the table. You've been able to control the table. I think shoving/raising is a mistake, because when you are called you're usually racing or way behind. As one of the best players left deep in the field...you don't need to take these spots with your chips stack and situation.
A 5x raise seems like way too much to call. There's a lot of situations you won't like to see - eg. another opponent shoves, missed flops, original raiser has you crushed. This is a spot I would generally lean towards a fold because of your stack size and your ability to chip up with minimal risk.
This is a situation where it's high risk, high reward; but against these opponents you should be able to find quite a few lower risk, high reward situations.
Ya, I definitely didn't consider folding enough at the time. However, if I had folded, it would have been because of the reasons you said plus the fact that I just didn't feel very confident about the situation. The villain was pretty nutty. Against other villains, or even randoms, folding comes to mind quicker, but against a guy who was making a ton of mistakes I'm just not sure he has AQ beaten here that often. At this point, I think calling was probably the best play, but at a faster speed than what I did. I would be unsurprised to see him open KQ, KJ, Ax, and small pp's here for his 5x raise, purely based on his previous two opens (a 5x with AK and 4x with 66). He's not a guy playing supertight where his 5x would mean massive strength. I do agree with you though that raising is probably a mistake because I'm not sure this particular player will spaz out with his worse aces and KQ type hands, and he'll almost always get the money in with 99+ and AK.
As far as other things I wouldn't want to see go - I'm not really worried about other people shoving, that happens about 3% or so per person left to act, and I can pretty safely fold at that point. I doubt he has us crushed (admittedly, occasionally he does) and I'm comfortable playing flops in position, especially vs amateur players. We do whiff a lot of flops, however, I am confident in my ability to minimize losses/maximize wins to the extent that I show a profit here by calling. Being in position definitely helps, as if we were SB instead it would probably be a raise/fold situation.