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Full Version: Should I Have Shoved This River?
FCP Poker Forum > Poker Strategy Forum > No Limit Texas Hold'em Cash Games
AimHigher
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (4 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($38.30)
SB ($44.25)
BB ($14.90)
Hero (UTG) ($46.90)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 10, Q
Hero raises to $1, 1 fold, SB calls $0.90, 1 fold

Flop: ($2.25) K, 4, J (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.50, SB calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.25) 7 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3, SB raises to $6, Hero calls $3

River: ($17.25) A (2 players)
SB bets $4, Hero raises to $15, SB calls $11

Total pot: $47.25 | Rake: $2

Villain was 35/10/1.3/101 with a fold to flop bet percentage of 57. He was a little donkish but he wasn't one to check raise often. I wanted to shove the river but for some reason I didn't.

Turn bet sizing is a little wonky. BB was a 63/17 so I was attempting to get in a pot with him heads up preflop. Thoughts?
tskillz187
Check the turn there like always. That 7 isn't a card that is going to make him fold and you can draw for free to the nuts. I think the sizing of your river bet is pretty good, it's unrealistic that he has a huge hand here either, and if he has set+ he's going to be shoving most of the time. Try and get value from something like AJ, KJ, KQ etc imo.
NoSup4U
I feel like his small river bet means he's trying to value bet you but he's scared of the A or thinks you'll be scared of the A. I like your sizing.

Mark
CobaltBlue
If villain's ever "testing" you by calling with worse than top pair on the flop, a turn bet's fine. I also appreciate that you feel he's unlikely to check-raise. That's an important note for deciding to bet. As for shoving the river, I wouldn't worry too much. I mean, you may be able to go to like $20 or something.
AimHigher
Thanks guys, he snap called with KJ and I felt like I missed value. I know he's paying me with AJ, KJ, AK, 44, JJ, KK and maybe even hands AQ/AT. I think his 3-bet stat was 0% over the 100 hands so it's conceivable that he doesn't 3-bet me preflop with any of these hands.
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