Sens-Eh
Friday, August 29th, 2008, 6:23 AM
QUOTE (NoSup4U @ Friday, August 22nd, 2008, 4:56 PM)

I am seeing a common theme here in a lot of the strat posts I'm reading. Before you bet or raise someone you should have a reason for doing it and a plan if you get raised. Never bet if you don't know what you will do if you are raised.
In this situation, you made a number of common mistakes.
CO opens, button calls and sb 3bets. Pretty standard, and now you're in the bb with JJ. Before you act, you should think about both the opener and the sb.
Is the opener tight or loose?
What does the sb think about how tight or loose the opener is?
How tight or loose is the sb?
If the opener is meh, and the sb is loose, you probably have a good hand to 4bet and stack off with as you're crushing their ranges.
If the opener is tight and the sb is tight, you should think about how strong the sb's hand must be for a tight guy to 3bet another tight guy oop.
Only info I have is that the sb seems to be super tight (16/11). So what do you think a 16/11 guy is 3betting oop with? Ask yourself, what cards could this guy hold here? I would guess TT+ and AK. Full ring nits generally just call with AJ/AQ and 99- right? Also if you 4bet, ask yourself if you are ever getting called/shoved on by worse. If not, then why bother 4betting? 72o plays the exact same as your JJ in that case, so you are totally wasting the value of JJ by 4betting.
So now, think about how your JJ fares against this range we've established for the sb. Not so well. Folding here might be a little tight but wouldn't be criminal, certainly better than 4betting.
Personally vs this villain, I call pf and evaluate from there.
If I choose to 4bet in this spot, it is not with the intention of folding if the guy shoves. As played, you're probably behind this nit but you've already put in 1/3 of your stack so folding or calling his shove are probably not drastically different if you stove it.
Mark
Thanks for this excellent response. This was just the sort of analysis I was looking for. The opener was loose and both myself and the SB would have known it, but your right I should have evaluated the SB's 3-bet a bit more critically and never should have put myself into this situation with the 4 bet.
I did fold of course. As noted by most, I was almost certainly way behind and realized that. Thanks everyone for your responses.