antistuff
Wednesday, August 20th, 2008, 9:59 AM
QUOTE (Lrgetrout @ Wednesday, August 20th, 2008, 12:09 AM)

You call an all in in position with T8643. Villlain pats. Do you break your 10?
you have 19 outs (t, 9, 7, 5, 2) to make a ten or better. there are 47 unseen cards. so you will make a ten or better about 40% of the time. its actually a little less than this becouse the villain is probably holding at least two of your outs.
since its an all in situation you need to win half the time to break even (simplification, im guessing you put close enough to half the money in where this is true).
note that your ten is pretty good. if he has a jack low and you drew a jack your hand would beat his most of the time (you're just under a 50% fav to make a jack).
so this really comes down to reading his hand. you didn't describe the betting for us, so this is hard to guess at.
im pretty sure if the worst he would ever get it all in preflop with is a pat ten you need to break, i can say that much.