CobaltBlue
Wednesday, August 20th, 2008, 4:26 PM
QUOTE (CoranMoran @ Thursday, August 7th, 2008, 2:11 PM)

Given this logic, I don't put Villain on total air.
Checking the turn doesn't accomplish much.
So I bet fold this pretty much every time.
If villain doesn't have air, he's likely calling or raising, right? I just don't see him folding much that beats us. Therefore, while I agree that bet/fold is better than bet/call, I think I like a check to take a free card to try to hit one of our six outs. (We also may have some splits.)
Let's put villain on this range (feel free to debate):
88-22,A2s+,K9s+,K4s-K3s,QTs+,Q4s-Q3s,JTs,J4s,64s,54s,43s,A2o+,KTo+,K4o-K3o,QJo,54o,43o
That means we have 17.6% equity if he's calling down. How many of these hands is he folding if we bet?