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BigDMcGee
What a **** sucking bad beat that giants game was. I had carolina +3.5, and the giants are down 8 with like 3 minutes left.. so they have to 1) score a touchdown 2) convert the 2 point conversion 3) score a touchdown in over time ( which is like a 20-1 shot). I want to kill a nun.
BigDMcGee
The early consensus data for this weekends games has many, many people picking against the favorites. I'm doing a head to head picks wager with a friend of mine, and I've never picked so many favorites all year. I'll check the data again on Saturday, and make sure I still like my picks, but I'm really shocked the way the picks are lining up so far. Weird week.
Ottawa_Biatch
What do you guys think most people are betting on the LA and Boston game?
Ottawa_Biatch
According to the Vegas Insider, most people are pounding the Celtics as the underdog. 77% right now.

Does that mean it would be good to bet the lakers?
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 12:03 PM) *
According to the Vegas Insider, most people are pounding the Celtics as the underdog. 77% right now.

Does that mean it would be good to bet the lakers?



yes. Very much so. It's rare to see an underdog with a majority of the gets, much less a huge majority like 77-23. If vegas was interested in making the betting even, the Celtics would be the favorite. Obviously they are not, take the lakers.
Ottawa_Biatch
Sorry for the dumb questions.

But Lakers on the Moneyline or Lakers -2
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 12:11 PM) *
Sorry for the dumb questions.

But Lakers on the Moneyline or Lakers -2



In theory, it really shouldn't matter. I would probably give the 2 rather than the money line, but it's a personal preference thing. where are you getting your data from, about the wagering, btw? The site I use has it only a 55-44 celtic advatage ( which is still huge for an underdog, but not as shocking as the 77-23)
Ottawa_Biatch
Bet made. LOL.

This is my first ever bet, lol.

1 U on LA -2

GL

http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/betti...25-08/time/1700

77% now for the Celtics!!!
Ottawa_Biatch
I looked at the spread and even though the % of the public betting the Celtics went up, the line went more towards the Lakers. So I'm feeling better about it.

I also bet the under as of the five games today, this game had the most betting the over 66%. Which I think is highly inflated due to the two teams playing.

Under at 200.5
Ottawa_Biatch
Also bet the Washington +15.5 against the Cavs. 68% betting on the Cavs to cover. Ugh, I don't feel good betting against Lebron and supporting the Wiz, lol.
Ottawa_Biatch
LOL, I know it's a small sample size, but ship it!!! Pau Gasol!!!

Hit both bets, the under and the Lakers -2!!!
Ottawa_Biatch
Question to Wang:

Is it better to:

a) Bet the line early once you notice something to get the better payout
OR
B ) Wait until you are 100% sure the line is moving a certain way to entice the public.
BigDMcGee
My head and my heart are about to join forces, as I'm betting my alma mater Northwestern for at least 1 unit, and hopefully 3 units.
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Monday, December 29th, 2008, 11:56 AM) *
Question to Wang:

Is it better to:

a) Bet the line early once you notice something to get the better payout
OR
B ) Wait until you are 100% sure the line is moving a certain way to entice the public.

How can you ever be 100% sure of this?
Ottawa_Biatch
Sorry didn't mean 100%, I meant more sure
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Monday, December 29th, 2008, 5:22 PM) *
My head and my heart are about to join forces, as I'm betting my alma mater Northwestern for at least 1 unit, and hopefully 3 units.



head and heart ftw.
BigDMcGee
Oregon +2.5? Don't mind if I do.. *DING*!
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Monday, December 29th, 2008, 6:53 PM) *
Sorry didn't mean 100%, I meant more sure

sooooooo 51% ?
Ottawa_Biatch
Anybody betting on the Penn St. vs USC game?

I have Penn St. (+8.0) and the ML
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 6:16 PM) *
Anybody betting on the Penn St. vs USC game?

I have Penn St. (+8.0) and the ML



I'm trying to get action on the under (45.5)
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 8:16 PM) *
Anybody betting on the Penn St. vs USC game?

I have Penn St. (+8.0) and the ML

I may...I just won a butt load on the LSU/GT game.


I like the points
lvpro
I've got the Dolphins +3.5 and Cardinals +2 this weekend. 2 units on the Cards. Thoughts?
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (lvpro @ Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 9:51 PM) *
I've got the Dolphins +3.5 and Cardinals +2 this weekend. 2 units on the Cards. Thoughts?



I haven't looked at the data yet, but I know there are 4 road favorites this week, and that's just madness.
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (lvpro @ Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 10:51 PM) *
I've got the Dolphins +3.5 and Cardinals +2 this weekend. 2 units on the Cards. Thoughts?

Boo on that dolph bet
Poppy_Hillis
Every year I take $100 and attempt to parlay all 11 playoff games. My rule is that I must keep letting it all ride, no matter what. No expectations, all I'm looking to do is make an exciting run. I've been doing this for 5 or 6 years and I've made it to the second week 3 times, and the last game on Sunday of the second week once. I haven't placed them yet, but this week I'm going with:

Atlanta -2
San Diego +1
Baltimore -3
Minnesota +3
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (Poppy_Hillis @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 2:18 AM) *
Every year I take $100 and attempt to parlay all 11 playoff games. My rule is that I must keep letting it all ride, no matter what. No expectations, all I'm looking to do is make an exciting run. I've been doing this for 5 or 6 years and I've made it to the second week 3 times, and the last game on Sunday of the second week once. I haven't placed them yet, but this week I'm going with:

Atlanta -2
San Diego +1
Baltimore -3
Minnesota +3



Dave Dameshek once got all 11 right. Oh that he would have let it ride.
lvpro
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Thursday, January 1st, 2009, 7:54 AM) *
Boo on that dolph bet


I don't love it either, I just wanted action and that was what was offered.
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (lvpro @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 10:51 AM) *
I don't love it either, I just wanted action and that was what was offered.



I like all the dog picks this week, actually. I'm most luke warm about the Cardinals, though +2 is much better than the +1 I've usual seen around. I actually like the miami pick, but my favorite picks are san diego +1 and Minn +3 ( which I love).


I think you have to be out of your mind taking a road favorite in the playoffs.
chgocubs99
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 12:56 PM) *
I like all the dog picks this week, actually. I'm most luke warm about the Cardinals, though +2 is much better than the +1 I've usual seen around. I actually like the miami pick, but my favorite picks are san diego +1 and Minn +3 ( which I love).


I think you have to be out of your mind taking a road favorite in the playoffs.



I'll take the Colts for any amount that you like up to $500, same goes for everyone else here
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (chgocubs99 @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 12:15 PM) *
I'll take the Colts for any amount that you like up to $500, same goes for everyone else here



well I don't really like the chargers for 20 of my betting units. I may take it for 50, though, I'll let you know.
DinkDonk
Cubs I'll take SD +1 for $100

Booked?
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (DinkDonk @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 1:27 PM) *
Cubs I'll take SD +1 for $100

Booked?



you'd probably be better off putting that in this thread..



er.. never mind, you already did.
HollywoodAFD
Thank you Ole Miss !
Poppy_Hillis
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 8:54 AM) *
Dave Dameshek once got all 11 right. Oh that he would have let it ride.

I remember that. That was the year the Steelers won it I think. He was probably pretty tuned in to all the teams because of that.
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 3:31 PM) *
Thank you Ole Miss !


On this, we can both agree.
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 5:33 PM) *
On this, we can both agree.

Are you playing the ECar game?

I've got ECar -2 and it's not looking real good right now.
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 4:46 PM) *
Are you playing the ECar game?

I've got ECar -2 and it's not looking real good right now.



nope, but I have utah +9.5, which seems suicidal to me at this moment.
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 6:51 PM) *
nope, but I have utah +9.5, which seems suicidal to me at this moment.

That's a contrarianisms wet dream game.... 84% of the money is the other way.


HollywoodAFD
Anyone else watching how bad these Big 10 officials are in the ECar game.... unfriggin real...
The ref obviously doesnt know what being "down" means.

He has missed at least 3 of those calls.

BigDMcGee
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 5:15 PM) *
That's a contrarianisms wet dream game.... 84% of the money is the other way.



This game has been my wet dream so for. 14 - zip already.
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 7:39 PM) *
This game has been my wet dream so for. 14 - zip already.

Don't wanna jinx it...not that I believe in jinx's...but just in case...
Looking good early... 14-0
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 7:50 PM) *
Don't wanna jinx it...not that I believe in jinx's...but just in case...
Looking good early... 21-0

FMP


BigDMcGee
wish i had the money line on utah and miss. I'm running like god in the bowls so far.
Poppy_Hillis
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 9:38 PM) *
I'm running like god in the bowls so far.

I would stay away from the rest of the bowl games now.
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (Poppy_Hillis @ Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 4:03 AM) *
I would stay away from the rest of the bowl games now.

That's what I should do... I'm 5 - 2 so far and should just stop while I'm ahead.
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (Poppy_Hillis @ Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 3:03 AM) *
I would stay away from the rest of the bowl games now.



because I jinxed myself? LOL

There's only one more bowl game I like anyway, Ohio State +8. I'm staying away from the NT game.
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 11:06 AM) *
because I jinxed myself? LOL

There's only one more bowl game I like anyway, Ohio State +8. I'm staying away from the NT game.

Nothing personal...but I really hope you lose that one.

I wouldn't take Texas -10 (current line) but I really really really want a blow out in that one.

I'm tempted to take Miami +3 tomorrow... thoughts?
BigDMcGee
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 12:16 PM) *
Nothing personal...but I really hope you lose that one.

I wouldn't take Texas -10 (current line) but I really really really want a blow out in that one.

I'm tempted to take Miami +3 tomorrow... thoughts?



texas -10, hmmm I don't like that the line is moving at all...




My thought is I like Miami quite a bit at home getting points. I don't think, no matter what happens, that it will be a shooot out, and close games I love getting points, particularly to a home dog.
HollywoodAFD
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 1:36 PM) *
texas -10, hmmm I don't like that the line is moving at all...




My thought is I like Miami quite a bit at home getting points. I don't think, no matter what happens, that it will be a shooot out, and close games I love getting points, particularly to a home dog.


My thoughts too....love home dogs in a win or go home game.


I think I'll play it.... just 2 units.


Both of the games today seem to risky to me.... I guess I'll just play poker and watch tonight.
Ottawa_Biatch
The line on pinnacle has the Cardinals are the favourite now, even though a majority of the spread money is on the Falcons.

For today:

Cardinals -1
Colts -1

and a two team parlay with it together.

Late news that Tomlinson might not play with a torn tendon.
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