BigDMcGee
Sunday, December 21st, 2008, 10:47 PM
What a **** sucking bad beat that giants game was. I had carolina +3.5, and the giants are down 8 with like 3 minutes left.. so they have to 1) score a touchdown 2) convert the 2 point conversion 3) score a touchdown in over time ( which is like a 20-1 shot). I want to kill a nun.
BigDMcGee
Wednesday, December 24th, 2008, 8:45 PM
The early consensus data for this weekends games has many, many people picking against the favorites. I'm doing a head to head picks wager with a friend of mine, and I've never picked so many favorites all year. I'll check the data again on Saturday, and make sure I still like my picks, but I'm really shocked the way the picks are lining up so far. Weird week.
Ottawa_Biatch
Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 11:52 AM
What do you guys think most people are betting on the LA and Boston game?
Ottawa_Biatch
Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 12:03 PM
According to the Vegas Insider, most people are pounding the Celtics as the underdog. 77% right now.
Does that mean it would be good to bet the lakers?
BigDMcGee
Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 12:08 PM
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 12:03 PM)

According to the Vegas Insider, most people are pounding the Celtics as the underdog. 77% right now.
Does that mean it would be good to bet the lakers?
yes. Very much so. It's rare to see an underdog with a majority of the gets, much less a huge majority like 77-23. If vegas was interested in making the betting even, the Celtics would be the favorite. Obviously they are not, take the lakers.
Ottawa_Biatch
Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 12:11 PM
Sorry for the dumb questions.
But Lakers on the Moneyline or Lakers -2
BigDMcGee
Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 12:16 PM
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 12:11 PM)

Sorry for the dumb questions.
But Lakers on the Moneyline or Lakers -2
In theory, it really shouldn't matter. I would probably give the 2 rather than the money line, but it's a personal preference thing. where are you getting your data from, about the wagering, btw? The site I use has it only a 55-44 celtic advatage ( which is still huge for an underdog, but not as shocking as the 77-23)
Ottawa_Biatch
Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 12:26 PM
Bet made. LOL.
This is my first ever bet, lol.
1 U on LA -2
GL
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/betti...25-08/time/170077% now for the Celtics!!!
Ottawa_Biatch
Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 1:47 PM
I looked at the spread and even though the % of the public betting the Celtics went up, the line went more towards the Lakers. So I'm feeling better about it.
I also bet the under as of the five games today, this game had the most betting the over 66%. Which I think is highly inflated due to the two teams playing.
Under at 200.5
Ottawa_Biatch
Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 3:06 PM
Also bet the Washington +15.5 against the Cavs. 68% betting on the Cavs to cover. Ugh, I don't feel good betting against Lebron and supporting the Wiz, lol.
Ottawa_Biatch
Thursday, December 25th, 2008, 4:57 PM
LOL, I know it's a small sample size, but ship it!!! Pau Gasol!!!
Hit both bets, the under and the Lakers -2!!!
Ottawa_Biatch
Monday, December 29th, 2008, 9:56 AM
Question to Wang:
Is it better to:
a) Bet the line early once you notice something to get the better payout
OR
B ) Wait until you are 100% sure the line is moving a certain way to entice the public.
BigDMcGee
Monday, December 29th, 2008, 4:22 PM
My head and my heart are about to join forces, as I'm betting my alma mater Northwestern for at least 1 unit, and hopefully 3 units.
HollywoodAFD
Monday, December 29th, 2008, 4:41 PM
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Monday, December 29th, 2008, 11:56 AM)

Question to Wang:
Is it better to:
a) Bet the line early once you notice something to get the better payout
OR
B ) Wait until you are 100% sure the line is moving a certain way to entice the public.
How can you ever be 100% sure of this?
Ottawa_Biatch
Monday, December 29th, 2008, 4:53 PM
Sorry didn't mean 100%, I meant more sure
BigDMcGee
Monday, December 29th, 2008, 8:49 PM
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Monday, December 29th, 2008, 5:22 PM)

My head and my heart are about to join forces, as I'm betting my alma mater Northwestern for at least 1 unit, and hopefully 3 units.
head and heart ftw.
BigDMcGee
Tuesday, December 30th, 2008, 8:56 PM
Oregon +2.5? Don't mind if I do.. *DING*!
HollywoodAFD
Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 6:34 AM
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Monday, December 29th, 2008, 6:53 PM)

Sorry didn't mean 100%, I meant more sure
sooooooo 51% ?
Ottawa_Biatch
Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 6:16 PM
Anybody betting on the Penn St. vs USC game?
I have Penn St. (+8.0) and the ML
BigDMcGee
Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 7:49 PM
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 6:16 PM)

Anybody betting on the Penn St. vs USC game?
I have Penn St. (+8.0) and the ML
I'm trying to get action on the under (45.5)
HollywoodAFD
Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 7:57 PM
QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 8:16 PM)

Anybody betting on the Penn St. vs USC game?
I have Penn St. (+8.0) and the ML
I may...I just won a butt load on the LSU/GT game.
I like the points
lvpro
Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 8:51 PM
I've got the Dolphins +3.5 and Cardinals +2 this weekend. 2 units on the Cards. Thoughts?
BigDMcGee
Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 8:53 PM
QUOTE (lvpro @ Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 9:51 PM)

I've got the Dolphins +3.5 and Cardinals +2 this weekend. 2 units on the Cards. Thoughts?
I haven't looked at the data yet, but I know there are 4 road favorites this week, and that's just madness.
HollywoodAFD
Thursday, January 1st, 2009, 7:54 AM
QUOTE (lvpro @ Wednesday, December 31st, 2008, 10:51 PM)

I've got the Dolphins +3.5 and Cardinals +2 this weekend. 2 units on the Cards. Thoughts?
Boo on that dolph bet
Poppy_Hillis
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 1:18 AM
Every year I take $100 and attempt to parlay all 11 playoff games. My rule is that I must keep letting it all ride, no matter what. No expectations, all I'm looking to do is make an exciting run. I've been doing this for 5 or 6 years and I've made it to the second week 3 times, and the last game on Sunday of the second week once. I haven't placed them yet, but this week I'm going with:
Atlanta -2
San Diego +1
Baltimore -3
Minnesota +3
BigDMcGee
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 7:54 AM
QUOTE (Poppy_Hillis @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 2:18 AM)

Every year I take $100 and attempt to parlay all 11 playoff games. My rule is that I must keep letting it all ride, no matter what. No expectations, all I'm looking to do is make an exciting run. I've been doing this for 5 or 6 years and I've made it to the second week 3 times, and the last game on Sunday of the second week once. I haven't placed them yet, but this week I'm going with:
Atlanta -2
San Diego +1
Baltimore -3
Minnesota +3
Dave Dameshek once got all 11 right. Oh that he would have let it ride.
lvpro
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 10:51 AM
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Thursday, January 1st, 2009, 7:54 AM)

Boo on that dolph bet
I don't love it either, I just wanted action and that was what was offered.
BigDMcGee
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 10:56 AM
QUOTE (lvpro @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 10:51 AM)

I don't love it either, I just wanted action and that was what was offered.
I like all the dog picks this week, actually. I'm most luke warm about the Cardinals, though +2 is much better than the +1 I've usual seen around. I actually like the miami pick, but my favorite picks are san diego +1 and Minn +3 ( which I love).
I think you have to be out of your mind taking a road favorite in the playoffs.
chgocubs99
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 12:15 PM
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 12:56 PM)

I like all the dog picks this week, actually. I'm most luke warm about the Cardinals, though +2 is much better than the +1 I've usual seen around. I actually like the miami pick, but my favorite picks are san diego +1 and Minn +3 ( which I love).
I think you have to be out of your mind taking a road favorite in the playoffs.
I'll take the Colts for any amount that you like up to $500, same goes for everyone else here
BigDMcGee
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 1:11 PM
QUOTE (chgocubs99 @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 12:15 PM)

I'll take the Colts for any amount that you like up to $500, same goes for everyone else here
well I don't really like the chargers for 20 of my betting units. I may take it for 50, though, I'll let you know.
DinkDonk
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 1:27 PM
Cubs I'll take SD +1 for $100
Booked?
BigDMcGee
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 1:59 PM
QUOTE (DinkDonk @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 1:27 PM)

Cubs I'll take SD +1 for $100
Booked?
you'd probably be better off putting that in this thread..
er.. never mind, you already did.
HollywoodAFD
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 2:31 PM
Thank you Ole Miss !
Poppy_Hillis
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 2:47 PM
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 8:54 AM)

Dave Dameshek once got all 11 right. Oh that he would have let it ride.
I remember that. That was the year the Steelers won it I think. He was probably pretty tuned in to all the teams because of that.
BigDMcGee
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 3:33 PM
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 3:31 PM)

Thank you Ole Miss !
On this, we can both agree.
HollywoodAFD
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 4:46 PM
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 5:33 PM)

On this, we can both agree.
Are you playing the ECar game?
I've got ECar -2 and it's not looking real good right now.
BigDMcGee
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 4:51 PM
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 4:46 PM)

Are you playing the ECar game?
I've got ECar -2 and it's not looking real good right now.
nope, but I have utah +9.5, which seems suicidal to me at this moment.
HollywoodAFD
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 5:15 PM
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 6:51 PM)

nope, but I have utah +9.5, which seems suicidal to me at this moment.
That's a contrarianisms wet dream game.... 84% of the money is the other way.
HollywoodAFD
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 5:21 PM
Anyone else watching how bad these Big 10 officials are in the ECar game.... unfriggin real...
The ref obviously doesnt know what being "down" means.
He has missed at least 3 of those calls.
BigDMcGee
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 5:39 PM
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 5:15 PM)

That's a contrarianisms wet dream game.... 84% of the money is the other way.
This game has been my wet dream so for. 14 - zip already.
HollywoodAFD
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 5:50 PM
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 7:39 PM)

This game has been my wet dream so for. 14 - zip already.
Don't wanna jinx it...not that I believe in jinx's...but just in case...
Looking good early... 14-0
HollywoodAFD
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 5:55 PM
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 7:50 PM)

Don't wanna jinx it...not that I believe in jinx's...but just in case...
Looking good early... 21-0
FMP
BigDMcGee
Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 9:38 PM
wish i had the money line on utah and miss. I'm running like god in the bowls so far.
Poppy_Hillis
Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 2:03 AM
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Friday, January 2nd, 2009, 9:38 PM)

I'm running like god in the bowls so far.
I would stay away from the rest of the bowl games now.
HollywoodAFD
Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 6:39 AM
QUOTE (Poppy_Hillis @ Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 4:03 AM)

I would stay away from the rest of the bowl games now.
That's what I should do... I'm 5 - 2 so far and should just stop while I'm ahead.
BigDMcGee
Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 9:06 AM
QUOTE (Poppy_Hillis @ Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 3:03 AM)

I would stay away from the rest of the bowl games now.
because I jinxed myself? LOL
There's only one more bowl game I like anyway, Ohio State +8. I'm staying away from the NT game.
HollywoodAFD
Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 11:16 AM
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 11:06 AM)

because I jinxed myself? LOL
There's only one more bowl game I like anyway, Ohio State +8. I'm staying away from the NT game.
Nothing personal...but I really hope you lose that one.
I wouldn't take Texas -10 (current line) but I really really really want a blow out in that one.
I'm tempted to take Miami +3 tomorrow... thoughts?
BigDMcGee
Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 11:36 AM
QUOTE (HollywoodAFD @ Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 12:16 PM)

Nothing personal...but I really hope you lose that one.
I wouldn't take Texas -10 (current line) but I really really really want a blow out in that one.
I'm tempted to take Miami +3 tomorrow... thoughts?
texas -10, hmmm I don't like that the line is moving at all...
My thought is I like Miami quite a bit at home getting points. I don't think, no matter what happens, that it will be a shooot out, and close games I love getting points, particularly to a home dog.
HollywoodAFD
Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 11:42 AM
QUOTE (BigDMcGee @ Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 1:36 PM)

texas -10, hmmm I don't like that the line is moving at all...
My thought is I like Miami quite a bit at home getting points. I don't think, no matter what happens, that it will be a shooot out, and close games I love getting points, particularly to a home dog.
My thoughts too....love home dogs in a win or go home game.
I think I'll play it.... just 2 units.
Both of the games today seem to risky to me.... I guess I'll just play poker and watch tonight.
Ottawa_Biatch
Saturday, January 3rd, 2009, 1:04 PM
The line on pinnacle has the Cardinals are the favourite now, even though a majority of the spread money is on the Falcons.
For today:
Cardinals -1
Colts -1
and a two team parlay with it together.
Late news that Tomlinson might not play with a torn tendon.
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