AimHigher
Saturday, May 10th, 2008, 9:15 PM
QUOTE (dspadez @ Sunday, May 11th, 2008, 5:47 AM)

aimhigher, just a word of caution, while you may be aiming higher, most people at these stakes are not. very often people can play these stakes while almost doing anything because a loss isnt that bad no matter what.
so putting people on ranges is difficult because you have no clue what this person is doing thinking. He may not be thinking about the hand at all. Hes watching tv, multi tabling. People do alot of weird things at these stakes and i think pyschology comes into play a lot.
he could have flopped the flush, he could be making that play with a king, maybe king of clubs. the jack or air.
um the thing that mainly concerns me is that hes got so much money at these stakes. he's either been there a while and is a decent player or he got lucky. so since he has more at risk, he may be paying better attention than some others. i can definitely see him playing a flopped flush like this.
youre bet on the river, doesnt seem like a missed flush, so i dont really think he would make that play with a king. he could have the jack.....
i think suited flops are some of the hardest to play when youre the aggressor, because your opponent can put you on a wide range and do weird things. theres a lot of mental game played and its tough to see what your opponents thinking.
i mention this because, i dont know if i bet out on the turn (at these limits) because i feel im setting myself up to be bluffed on the river. id rather try and catch a bluff depending on how its played.... yknow?
Nice play on words,

.
I'll agree that players at this level do some very screwy things, but I also think that is what makes these players so exploitable. You are right in the sense that I should not be asking myself, "Why wouldn't he make what I think is a correct play for a hand that beats mine?", because a lot of the players at this level are not making correct plays. However, I completely disagree with you that betting the turn sets me up to be bluffed on the river. In fact, if anything checking the turn is more likely to induce a bluff than betting it is. Betting the turn looks pretty strong if you are the villain.