NoBBiR
Tuesday, May 6th, 2008, 2:17 PM
QUOTE (LincolnK @ Tuesday, May 6th, 2008, 1:20 PM)

1) lets skip all the fold preflop stuff. it's 1c/2c and i'm not playing for a living. let's assume i'm going to play this hand when it limps around to me, if for no other reason than to see a flop and gain experience. that leaves us with call or raise preflop, but i'm more concerned with the flop decision here.
i said i've been playing lag, i didn't say i'm playing this hand in a lag style. i've been raising and betting more than anything this session.
2) everybody says shove, but nobody has made any comments about what villain can have (other than the poke at A4c). i was hoping we could figure out what they might hold and run pokerstove or something for numbers. so, i'll try to define our situation to provoke some discussion.
i give villain credit for some type of hand. if they had air, they are check/folding (or betting 2c and folding to a raise). the only thing they may have that i'm currently beating is suited overcards/suited A6-A7-similar. i'd give this less weight just because i haven't seen villain make any bets on a draw like this. 3) otherwise it's a pair of 9's or better, and i have to be behind if that's the case.
i have near 0% fold equity here. i expect villain to call any raise.
villain has bet $1.22 into an $.08 pot. this is what confuses me. yes they have been overbetting, but nothing this out there. if they had bet 8c or 20c or maybe even 30c, i'm happy to raise and see what comes next. i can't decide if this is "i am interested in the pot but i don't want to fight it out," or "i have a big hand and want someone to put a bunch of money in with this draw heavy board."
4) as long as i'm writing this all out i'll try to ballpark my odds:
vs JcTc: have to dodge 7+6, villain is ~52%, i'm ~48%.
vs Ax9x: have 9+3, i am ~48%. if it's Ac i'm ~44%.
vs 6x7x: have 9, i am ~36%. if it's 6c7c i'm ~28%.
vs 88: have 9, but have to dodge 7 + runner runner. cardplayer says i'm ~30%.
vs TxTx: have 9+2+3, i am ~56%. if it's Tc i'm ~52%.
1) Ok, look - don't post hands where you play badly on a street and expect not to get grief, especially when you know you've played badly on that street. I'm not trying to be a dick, you just have to expect it. And it doesn't matter if you play for a living (obv you don't, you're playing 1/2 cent) or for fun, you still should know that folding 93 preflop is better than calling. You say let's assume you're playing it to get better, but heres a good tip. The best thing you can learn in the low stakes is
patience. You can't go monkey shit and limp in all the time with suited garbage cards, this isn't High Stakes Poker.
2) Villain could have A9, K9, Q9, two pair, a set, a straight (fairly likely imo), the NFD, the NFD+Gutterball, OESD+FD (107cc, J10cc), A slowplayed overpair. I also think it's fairly likely he may have misclick bet. He could have tried to bet 12 cents and hit 2 too many times and the period in the wrong spot or something stupid.
3) It's unlikely you have absolutely 0 fold equity. I mean you COULD have zero, and you probably ended up having zero based on how you're talking, but knowing his cards after the hand is over bares no relevance on his range for this situation. Regardless, people at 1/2 cent are willing to do this with a lot of trash hands. Even if you have a sliver of FE with this hand, it's a reraise. The reason? Because even if he calls, you've got pretty solid equity against his range. And how much is in the pot, based on how much someone bet doesn't matter if you have a strong hand. If you had 107cc or J10cc, I can't imagine you would be thinking twice about putting it in. You have a pretty similar hand, so act like it.
4) Yeah dude, it's called a gamble. Sometime you have to take the worst of a coinflip when you have FE, or a big draw. You can't just get it in with the stone nuts all of the time. Plus, GAMBOOLLLLING IS FUNNNN!