you have Atd preflop and you sole opponent had 7s2h




he will call if you open to 2.5bb or less but will fold if you open for more than 2.5


assuming there is no action except preflop, what move will make you the most money?

i would think raising 2.5 X the BB would get you the most money...
but im no math expert

so would i guys but think about it- if he is calling it means he thinks its not as bad as losing his bb so why arent you moving to take it instead!?

There's 1.5bb in the pot to start with, so opening to >2.5bb results in you winning 1.5bb.

You have about a 70% chance of winning at showdown, since it's >50 the only case we care about is the maximum we can put in and be called (betting less would win us less), which is opening to 2.5. Ignoring ties, you win 5bb 70% of the time, but you put 2bb on top of your small blind, so your profit on average is 5*.7-2 = 1.5bb. Which means both plays have the same result winnings wise.

Since there's actually about a 0.5% chance of a tie (so you are actually less than 70% of winning outright) the bigger raise play is marginally better by a few microcents...

In actual play the bigger raise is significantly better because you will pay less rake (which far outweighs the above calculations), but of course in actual play you don't know your opponents cards or what his action will be

ty for your reply you are spot on

Was this a quiz? Am I too late? Teacher I copied off sholden!