If SB is a bad player, then he may have had a wrap draw and turned a flush draw, but completely ignored the paired board and flop raise.
-If he's that bad of a player and has ANY draws that he's still chasing, do we want to raise him off of them with position, or do we want to try and let him hit whatever he's chasing and lead in to us again on the river?In any case, I like raising the turn around 99% of the time.
-disagree-If he's bluffing, then you (probably) wouldn't win more money off him regardless of whether you raise turn or not. I find three-barreling to be quite rare in PLO.
-disagree This guy did it with the naked ace and two callers -If he has a 7, then you're charging him to draw and probably doubling through him if he has [72] or possibly [A7]
-We pray that he has another 7, and that the river is lower than a ten, and that he leads in to us again-If he's drawing to a straight or flush... kudos to finding this opponent! A smallish raise to ~$70 may be more enticing than just shoveling here...
I expect him to have naked aces here VERY often given the 3bet preflop. Raising will tell him those are no good. Flat calling might look like WE are the ones on the draw.EDIT: I forgot to add. We should be willing to felt here if he 3-bets. His PFR and aggression factor is high enough for me to believe that he would be willing to commit his stack with [27] or [A7]... and possibly [K7] here. If he has [TT], then cooler, reload and move on.
uh, yeah. I think that part is fairly obvious.So in summary, I flat call. Shove any river card <10 - probably flat call any river card >10