NoBBiR
Sunday, March 16th, 2008, 12:38 PM
QUOTE (Abbaddabba @ Saturday, March 15th, 2008, 7:48 PM)

and with insight like that, I can't imagine why you're still stuck playing micro stakes.
Oh woops, sorry I don't see poker as a profession, or that I've only ever taken two shots at online poker when I'm better at live, nor am I rich, bad beat for me I guess. Personal shots are a nice way to have a poker discussion though, douchebag.
QUOTE (Abbaddabba @ Sunday, March 16th, 2008, 12:23 PM)

try and envision what hands you're betting the turn with here of the hands you could have.
if the large majority of them are top pair +, then your only hope of getting paid off is that he is completely unobservant.
micro-champions (see: 75% of people playing at those stakes) tend to err on the tight/passive side, with the tight portion being almost justified because of how passive everyone else is. if the worst hand he calls your turn bet with is top pair ok kicker, then you are much better off checking.
if this is played at 5/10NL, it becomes a better spot to bet. because people who are familiar with the games are going to expect a much higher level of aggression, and even if YOU play identically, they're going to generalize those tendencies onto you. so when they see you 2 barreling, they will have more of a reason to pay off with lesser hands. they'll also far less often have a flush draw, since they themselves are likely to play it aggressively on the flop - just as they are less likely to have big hands, since they will be less inclined to slowplay.
You really don't think that at 100nl, there are people at are completely unobservant and will call the turn here with KQ, QJ, Q10, or any of those hands especially if they have a diamond? Are you kidding?
What do we usually expect people to call with when we bet overpairs? If it's me, I expect them to call with top pair. How often do you bet into somebody and expect them to call with much worse? Obviously they'll call with draws, but on this board the draw hit so he's more likely to raise, and I'm not really going to be pissed off if he does c/r me. Against some villains, I would call, and others, folding the NFD doesn't really make me too upset with one card to come, since against a turn c/r, that's basically all we have. I just not into checking behind at low stakes NLHE, and then blind calling basically any river. On the turn we have a pretty strong hand and it's fairly likely that we have the best hand.