akishore
Sunday, May 1st, 2005, 2:45 AM
QUOTE (Wily)
Preflop: Folded around. MP3, to my right, a loose, lucky player, calls. I call in CO. SB folds, BB checks.
you might limp here with A-K/A-Q/A-J/A-10 (though you SHOULD raise all of these), A-x suited, K-Q/K-J (again, should raise these), K-J/K-10, K-x suited, Q-J/Q-10, J-10, pocket pair 9-9 and below, and maybe some suited connectors (J-10 suited down to 5-4 suited).
if your opponent is loose, it's futile to even put a range of hands he would limp with.
QUOTE (Wily)
Flop: A

7

8
Checked around to me, I bet. BB folds, Mp3 calls.
you hit top pair or better, maybe a flush/straight draw. this means A-K/A-Q/A-J/A-10, A-x suited, 8-8/7-7, 10-9 suited (diamonds or not), 9-8 of diamonds, 8-7 suited, and 6-5 suited (diamonds or not).
again, no idea what your opponent might have. if he's a donk, he probably doesn't have top pair--maybe a pair of 8's or 7's. if he's likely to bet those as well, he's probably on a straight draw or flush draw.
QUOTE (Wily)
Turn: A

7

8

10
MP bets, I raise, he calls.
you raise, eh? that means you have the goods. let's narrow it down to A-K, possibly A-Q/A-J (not sure you would raise here with those, maybe if they were diamonds or spades), A-10, A-8/A-7 suited maybe, 8-8/7-7, 10-9 of diamonds maybe, 9-8 of diamonds maybe, and 8-7 suited maybe.
the fact that he bet into you just screams 10-9 or possibly 10-8/10-7, and maybe a diamond/spade draw.
QUOTE (Wily)
River: A

7

8

10

7
MP bets, I raise, he calls.
ok, erase all the draws. the fact that you raised EVEN when the board pairs tell me set. 8-8/7-7 is my strong guess (i'd lean towards 7-7... the showdown of quads versus tens up or something would be comical enough to start this thread... in fact,
7-7 is my final answer for you), and secondary guesses include A-7 suited and 8-7 suited.
one possibility that just occured to me is that you might have 10-10. although you should have raised pre-flop (and you probably might), you might have limped with it, bet in position when everyone checked, then caught the two-outter and protected your hand since. however, i still lean to 7-7 because i'm just not sure that you would limp 10-10 in a limit game, especially since you say you're aggressive.
when your opponent pulls the stop-and-go TWICE, it tells me he's weak, especially since he just calls your raises. i would guess 10-9 for a busted straight draw, or a busted flush draw (J-10 of diamonds maybe?).
10-9 (suited or otherwise... if it matters, i would guess 10-9 of diamonds) is my final answer for your opponent.
am i close? :-)
(this was way too hard of a guess-the-hand quiz, IMO.)
aseem