dingas
Wednesday, November 21st, 2007, 8:04 AM
QUOTE (jmbreslin @ Wednesday, November 21st, 2007, 8:36 AM)

Throw it away. KJ may not be a huge dog, but it is likely to be a dog by a fair amount against villain's range. You're behind Ax, KQ, and any PP. You're only a 60/40 fav over hands like T9s. The fact that he's pushing now from that position when he didn't (I assume) push from SB, Button, or CO, suggests he chose to wait for something of value. Add to that the fact that there are still 3 to act after you, one of which is a bigstack, and I'm getting out of the way. I'd rather let biggie call with his stack and try to knock shortie out.
I love when people call shortie pushes with hands like KJ because it means I can feel more comfortable about pushing weak Aces when I'm shortstacked...
Well, he pushed for 2000 into a pot of 825, so I only need 41% equity to make a call neutral ev. This assumes no action behind, of course, so we have to adjust this upwards a bit to account for the chance of running into AA-JJ or AK. 45% seems like a good estimate. Do you really put villain on a range against which we have less than 45% equity? I'm talking about the typical villain here. I mean, I see your point of view, and you may be right, but what pushing range are you assuming for villain?
I disagree with your last statement, by the way. When I have 2000 with blinds at 200/400 and it is folded to me two off the button, I will be pushing a huge range, and if you fold KJ you will be giving up a ton of value. Obviously, I hope to get calls with KJ when I happen to have a big one, but if I am playing against people who will routinely fold KJ, I think this is a good situation.