copernicus
Monday, November 19th, 2007, 6:05 PM
QUOTE (throwemaway @ Monday, November 19th, 2007, 7:22 PM)

I think you took the correct line. You should edit the original post to take away villain's action after you check the river though
Cop: I'm not really sure how you figure Villain has a middle pair..I don't think he often floats that flop with a middle pair and the board is pretty dry..Betting the river is total spew IMO..Hes most likely raising, def. calling with any ace..He is most assuredly calling with a King if he floated the flop and we checked the turn..And do you really think hes calling with a worse hand like 44-77? Just not happening..
44 obviously yes, but I dont think you meant that. I think 99-QQ easily play the hand this way and 55-88 could as well. He was button and limp/calls. Thats usually middle pairs, weak Aces, suited connectors. On the flop bet he's getting 3:1...not a great call with middle pair certainly, but he expects a CB here no matter what the board is, and at the upper end of the pairs may think its worth a shot. How does an Ace or K check a turn thats put a draw on the board unless he has the boat?
A bet on the river can chase a King, and I really dont see being up against an Ace here. Youre in for 1200 chips, another 1000 puts you in a tie for 2d place, and your sending those chips to a player close on the right, so you have position to get them back if you lose. I really think its worth a bet here.