Bodog 3/6 NLHE (9-handed)

Cobalt $1967
CO $870
Button $231
SB $501
BB $3495

Cobalt is MP3 w/ A 3 . I've been playing somewhat LAG. CO seems LAG, but I don't have a lot of orbits to have judged. Button, SB, and BB are pretty big loose donks of varying aggression.

Pre-flop:
4 folds, Cobalt raises to $20, CO calls, Button calls, 2 folds

Flop ($66): J T 3 (3 players)
Cobalt bets $40, CO raises to $80, 1 fold, Cobalt re-raises to $280, CO goes all-in, Cobalt calls $570


(Calling $570 to win $1200...fwiw, the shove seemed slightly hesitant)

this is 100% a call.


Board: Jc Tc 3d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.306% 42.23% 00.08% 8779 16.50 { Ac3c }
Hand 1: 57.694% 57.61% 00.08% 11978 16.50 { AA, JJ-TT, 33, KcQc, JTs, 9c8c, JTo }


Even if he only ever has a set here, you are still very close to getting the right price to call.

As for the 3bet, I am completely fine there too and play it the same most of the time.

pretty standard

AA is ridiculous given pf action

and I'm def. 3betting once I get minraised like that

unless he minraises only supernuts (which i guess is JJ and TT here)

I think you should wident he range to other flush draws tbh

I agree, but was just showing how super EV this is even with a tight range.

This is a super easy call. He prob shows up with JT more than either set and there's even a chance that he's got KQcc/Q9cc or 89cc or something. Cwik did the math, but even without it, you can't be that big of a dog to his range unless he's got a set, and the most likely set under normal circumstances is the least likely cause you have a 3 in your hand.

There's not a lot of ways you are going to be behind here.
JT and the OESFD shows up here most of the time.
I probably do it almost identically.

Villain had JT (which is about what I thought/hoped at that point). I spiked the club on the river and took a huge pot. He was not particularly happy and berated me for "calling off with a draw".