Acid_Knight
Wednesday, October 24th, 2007, 1:25 PM
QUOTE (StPong @ Wednesday, October 24th, 2007, 2:10 PM)

How often do you think a bet here induces a shove, whether or not villain has a hand that beats us?
You're a better player than me, but I think a bet just opens the door to be outplayed. Then again, pairing the board is a scare card if he holds a flush and may just call fearing a boat.
Not that it changes any of my statements, but for some reason I thought the flop was AQx, not KQx and I thought we rivered 2 pair and not trips.
I don't think that betting induces a raise too often at all and almost never by a hand that we beat. I do think it's very likely that he will call with a QJ type of hand here and will certainly pay us off with lesser kings.
I think it'll be very hard for him to raise with a bluff since I think bluff raising in these situations is not in a lot of people's arsenals.
He will call with many worse hands here. Our hand is too strong to check. If he c/rs, then we're probably folding, but I am pretty sure we show a good profit by betting here.