This hand is making me go crazy. I don't know if pushing was +EV or not. I figure I would ask you guys and see.
I don't have the hand history because it was on UB and I didn't think about saving it when it happened but, I remember pretty much everything.
2+.20 bounty tournament. 1 dollar for each bounty.
Started out with close to (if not a little more than) 700 people and we are down to 250.
Blinds are at 30/60
10 person table I will only give you the chip stacks that matter.
Me 1870 BB
UTG+1 2500
MP 570 (short stack at table)
CO Covers everyone.
My notes on all players.
UTG+1 - Very fishy. Called on numerous draws (incuding a gut shot) when not getting proper odds. He called all his money off with a 7 high flush draw against 2 opponents earlier and backed into a straight to stay in the tourny. His main tell is that he is min-betting the flop when checked to on a draw then calling raises. Any other time he overbets his big hands.
MP - Not too much info except he is in "SHOVE" mode. He was down to 200 shoved with A7 and tripled up.
CO - Playing very tight....very ABC. Not taking the chance with trapping. If he flops big he is playing very aggressive. Passive on all other hands. It is apparent that he doesn't want to mess around this early in the tournament.
Okay...here we go.
Hero is dealt 7 8 hearts in the BB.
All four of us see a limped pot with the SB folding.
The flop comes
Q 7 8 rainbowed with the Q of hearts
I check hoping to instill some action from UTG+1, he bets 60, MP moves all-in for 570, CO thinks for a moment and flat calls.
Pot is 1470.
I obviously don't think that this is a calling situation. Either Push or Fold. Based on my reads I think I am ahead of everyone but the small stack. I put UTG on a draw "910 or even 10J" or small pair or Q with a bad Kicker. As I said before he would probably overbet his two pair. I put CO on a reasonable Q "KQ, QJ, Q10" or maybe JJ. I feel like if I push it is a good chance I get a call from both but, one of them is definitely calling me.
What what would you guys do here?
and to settle a bet.....if I read them correctly....do I win or lose more chips if I play this hand against all three opponents over the long haul.
I will post hand results in after some responses....