ghoti
Saturday, September 1st, 2007, 2:16 AM
QUOTE (tskillz187 @ Saturday, September 1st, 2007, 3:39 AM)

Yes, bet this turn more often than not. Your hand plays kind of transparently (flush draw, not combo draw) if you don't bet it.
This reasoning I like better.
QUOTE (tskillz187 @ Saturday, September 1st, 2007, 4:01 AM)

Why?
If we're behind and villain will call our turn bet but not call on the river when we hit then betting the turn is less profitable in the long run.
Let say we bet $1, villain calls -- that's betting $1 to try to win $3. In the long run we will make 0.4*3 - 0.6*1 = 0.6
However, if we check, in the long run we make 0.4*2 - 0.6*0 = 0.8
Betting the turn only helps us if a) sometimes villain folds to the turn bet or 2) it leads to villain paying us off for more when we hit, or i suppose iii) it sufficiently worries villain we can get him to fold to a river raise when we brick it.
I don't like the bet if we are trying to build the pot because we want to gamble. I like the disguise argument better, we are improving our chances of getting extra money from villain on the river when we hit, I'm still not sure that villain pays off a spade or 6 enough to make it worth it though.