nomad_monad
Sunday, August 26th, 2007, 6:46 PM
QUOTE (Scott3705 @ Sunday, August 26th, 2007, 4:52 PM)

Question for everyone: How do you play 109, A10 on this board.
AT - lead unless villain pathologically raises donkbets. If he does then its more read-dependent - sometimes I'll play for stacks against a guy like that here if he raises with overs enough, especially since a lot of times one of his over outs is dirty. Otherwise I c-c, re-evaluate turn.
T9 - c-c. Good mixture of turn cards that are either scare cards, improve our hand, or bring us extra outs that also give us decent semi-bluffing opportunities. If the turn is a pure scare card, sometimes I bet 1/2 pot, which folds air almost always (while keeping us from a tough decision), or just check if villain slows down to scare cards. If the lead is just flat called, I might shovel on a river blank if I think villain can fold an overpair.
If it improves our hand, lead out for 2/3 pot.
If it gives us semi-bluffing opportunities, c/r.
As far as the original hand - yes we should shovel here if raised. Lots of villains will raise you in position with unpaired big cards here - flat calling means you are hoping to hit while inviting another turn bluff if you miss, all in a bigger pot, which is a bad combo. I think the "it sometimes folds overpairs" rationale is pretty marginal at best though. I did some quick & dirty calculations and assuming we pot, he 3x raises us and we shovel, the villain has to fold JJ+ a bit more than 40% of the time before we reach the break-even point on our semi-bluff into (what will then be) a $9 pot. I think at any level it's going to be pretty damn hard to hit the requisite fold % if villain has an overpair. Fortunately, the villain's hand range is much wider than that, and while a lot of those hands can raise a donkbet, only an overpair (or TT) can call the shovel.