simo_8ball
Saturday, August 11th, 2007, 5:06 PM
Ok, this is where analysing the graph option on propokertools.com helps a lot.
What does an equity graph show me?An equity graph shows you how often a given hand has a certain minimum equity against another hand (or hands) on the next betting round. For example, with no board cards, the graph will show you data for a number of flops. On the other hand, if you enter a simulation including three board cards, the graph will show you the expected values for a number of possible turn cards. Take the following hands against AAxx:
1/ 5678 double suited:

2/ 9933 rainbow

3/ K952 rainbow

4/ 899T single suited

We can see from the first graph that 5678 will have at least (for example) 40% equity on about 55% of all flops. There are a lot of flops that give us solid equity against aces.
Now we look at a more simple case of 9933 rainbow in graph two. We see that we can only continue past the flop about 22% of the time (when we hit a set). Calling a large proportion of your stack preflop with such a hand is generally poor for this reason.
From these first two graphs you can see what you are looking for. You want hands which hit many flops well, so you want a graph which is high in the middle section.
The third graph is K952 rainbow. Total junk. There are only a small % of flops that make you a favourite over aces, and most of them just leave you as over a 2:1 dog.
The final graph is your hand. It is (as one would expect) between the K952 line and the 5678 line. I think it's a fairly close decision, based (amongst other factors) on how often villain will c/bet, and how often he will pay you off with just an overpair when you hit.