KoRnholio
Wednesday, August 8th, 2007, 1:22 PM
QUOTE (bdc30 @ Wednesday, August 8th, 2007, 12:58 PM)

My only thought process here was that he's obv on aces. There are SO many hands that hit mine postflop that I'm probably not getting away from it anyways, with him being so short SO - I might as well try and get him committed preflop and not give HIM a chance to get off his hand. Does that theory make any sense? I was hoping for the basic AAxx, maybe single suited, hopefully red. Anyone have a good odds calc to figure that out?
If you just call his reraise preflop, the pot is about $6 and less than a pot bet+raise away from all in. If he bets pot (he has to act first) he won't be folding very often no matter what the flop.
Just calling preflop allows us to re-evaluate on the flop. Sure there are lots of combo draws that we can hit and will get all in with, but there are some nasty flops (ie Axx, 22x through 99x, all red cards, etc) where we will be glad we aren't committed already.
QUOTE
Found one. 60/40, sorta like having AK v unders.
Results
Omaha Hi: 1086008 enumerated boards
cards .... win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Qs Ts Kc Qc 442997 40.79 643011 59.21 0 0.00 0.408
8c Ad 2d Ah 643011 59.21 442997 40.79 0 0.00 0.592
40% equity isn't all that good considering near random (trash, but playable) hands have 30%ish equity against aces. This number also falls quickly if he has other big cards or one of our flush draws.
The AK analogy also doesn't hold because part of the value of AK in Hold'em is that there is fold equity when we push against the low and mid pairs. Against AAxx (even KKxx for some guys) they are the ones glad to get it all in against us.