The Phoenix
Wednesday, July 25th, 2007, 1:19 PM
QUOTE (jmbreslin @ Wednesday, July 25th, 2007, 9:41 AM)

It wasn't that he raised with AA previously, it was that he reraised with AA previously - this was the only time the whole tourney that I remember him reraising with a hand. He wasn't very aggressive at all (note the earlier call with AA), so the fact that he came back at me with a reraise here is what concerned me. If the positions were reversed and he open-raised, I would instapush my ATs. Here, though, my read on him told me he was representing genuine strength with the reraise.
In any case, I figured my ATs was good enough and I did push back. He was holding AA...again. It got me wondering whether I made a mistake by not trusting my read. I think the only hands he would make this move with that I'm ahead of here would be the paint between my cards: KQs, KQ, maybe KJs. Highly doubtful he's making this move with a worse Ace, and everything else in his range either beats me easily or has the advantage on a coinflip (if he's reraising with a mid pair). I don't think I'm getting the 3-2 odds based on the all-in odds.
If you had a commanding chiplead there, what would you do against a button raise and you held A9, or A7s in the SB? What would you do with a pair of 4's pair of 9's?
From your perspective you should be willing to race.
If this guy really was passive and only reraised with huge pairs then maybe you can find a fold. However, a SNG is only an hour long. You might only get one or two big pairs in that hour. It's hard to have that accurate a read, but sometimes you just have to go with it. I played the final two tables with a guy that made two absolutely terrible plays and got himself a gigantic chiplead. He should have run over the table but he rarely raised, he limped into a bunch of pots even 5 handed and even on the button several times. He didn't re-raise once in two hours (FT was looooong). I had said to myself if he raises me I'm folding. Heads up (I went out 3rd, he re-raised and had Aces). So maybe you were right to consider folding but your reads have to be spot on or you will lose $$$ in the long run.
Just realize you are putting yourself in a bad spot, giving up 800 chips (500+ blinds next two hands) and you'll probably have to go with the next decent hand you pick up and it might not be as good as ATs.