cubbybri
Friday, June 29th, 2007, 11:04 AM
QUOTE (jmbreslin @ Friday, June 29th, 2007, 2:31 PM)

That's what I'm asking, is a 50% shot at double or nothing better or worse than a 33% shot at a wider range of profit?
Let's look at it this way. Say you start with $10 and over 10 HU games your ITM is 50%.
At $2.20 HU that = (5x4)-(5x2.2) = $9 winnings, or a profit of 90%
What would your finishes have to look like at a 50% ITM% playing full-table SnGs to get that kind of return? Unfortunately I don't have enough math know-how to make this calculation...
That should read (5x1.8) for net loss of -$2.
First if you are going to be ITM50% Head's Up you are going to be a loser.
$10 you lose 50 % for -$5
$10 you win 50% for +$5
10% entry fee for ten games =-$1 you are out $1 per 10 games
Total roi of -10%
10 Man
$10 you lose 50% for -$5
$10 you ITM 50% and at worst 3rd for win of min $5 and max of $20
$10 20% fee is -$2 (I recommend playing a site where SnGs are 10% fee)
Total Roi min is -20% but could be as high as 180%.
If you find a site that has lower fee, there is no benefit to playing HU if you are ITM 50% in either case, you are either equal or better off playing larger handed