mtdesmoines
Thursday, June 7th, 2007, 1:21 PM
RE: $250 bet
QUOTE (Naismith @ Thursday, June 7th, 2007, 11:32 AM)

I don't like this. If he has KT, he's paying off more than this. I don't love the turn slowplay, either.
I would bet 500 here. If he has the T, he's paying you off. If he slowplayed a set on the flop, he's getting it all in. If he did a delayed semi-bluff with a flush draw, he's probably getting it all in here, too.
I dunno ... it's read-dependent, but if he's looking to double up or lose it (noted in OP, and we have to rely on these reads as our information), he's prolly going to try to cram a T down our throat hard. And, as AK pointed out, the turn was the place to make him try it.
Here's my reasoning.
If he has a KT, he prolly can't resist raising and we're taking a big bite out of him.
If he has a TTT77 boat (whatever is there), he's raising and we're stacking him.
If he hit the flush, he prolly can't resist raising and we might stack him.
If he has an A, he's calling the shorter bet, not just folding to it.
Anyway, my original intent was to post a range between $250 and $500, so I'm not disagreeing that the $500 is "wrong."