CoranMoran
Monday, June 4th, 2007, 1:40 PM
Villain's turn check certainly looks like a Flush Draw.
I can't think of many other hands that would play this way.
QUOTE
Wow. I played this almost exact hand yesterday and I decided to c/c the river to give him a chance to bluff with a fd and he checked behind with QT
That's a horrible play with QT.
Checking behind on the river for a free showdown is greatly better than checking behind on the turn.
Because of our read, I think the river must be a check-call.
But I actually lead the turn.
I put Villain on the following range after he caps the flop:
AT, 33, 22, Flush Draw, 44-99.
I am willing to spend 2 more bets to find out if I am ahead.
Assumption: I do not think Villain will raise me again with a lesser hand.
Thus I bet-call the turn.
And check-fold the river unimproved.
If my assumtion is right, I pay the same amount to find out if I am behind.
And I usually make more money when I am ahead.
Examples:
- 33 & 22 (set) will raise my turn. I check-fold the river losing 2 bets. This is the same as calling down.
- AT will call me down. I lose 2 bets. This is the same as calling down myself.
- Flush draw will call my turn and fold the river. I gain 1 bet. This is better than calling down since Villain may not bluff on his own.
- 44-99. These hands will usually call me down. I gain 2 bets. This is better than calling down myself since they will usually take a free showdown.
--CM