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Full Version: I Reallllly Think I Should Fold This River
FCP Poker Forum > Poker Strategy Forum > Short Handed Texas Hold'em
aim786
PokerStars 2/4 Hold'em (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Preflop: Hero is BB with T, 8.
UTG calls, MP raises, 2 folds, Hero calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (6.50 SB) 5, 6, T (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP bets, Hero raises, UTG folds, MP calls.

Turn: (5.25 BB) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets, MP calls.

River: (7.25 BB) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets, MP raises, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 11.25 BB

41/33/2
Zach6668
I think it's either a bet/fold or a c/c, to be honest.

Well, meh, that's a good river bluff card, which is why I'd c/c.
mikeysong
i play it the same

I'd fold that river if I had good stats/reads on him
CoranMoran
I'm never folding this Top Pair here.

Villain raised preflop.
This makes it less likely that he holds a 3.
So the straight doesn't concern me much at all.

Sure, he could coincidently have a couple of spades.
But there is clearly not enough evidence of this to fold Top Pair.

My only thoughts are whether it is more profitable to bet for value, or to allow Villain a chance to bluff the river.
My decision comes down to whether or not he will call down with his overs (AK, etc).
And that determination relies on whether or not he could have put me on a missed draw.

The 4 icon_suit_spade.gif hits most of the draws out there.
My flush draw got there.
My 87 straightened up.
My 74 got me 4th pair (which still beats his AK).

Because of this fact, I feel Villain will likely fold his AK to a bet.
Since it beats very little at that point.
So there is not much value in a bet.

Thus, I check the river.
Not out of fear or passivity.
But out of confidence and aggression.
Thinking that my hand is still ahead.



--CM
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