Shimmering Wang
Monday, May 28th, 2007, 10:32 AM
QUOTE (Frez @ Monday, May 28th, 2007, 10:24 AM)

First I was wondering why you didn't 3 bet the flop.
Then I was thinking that's OK if you're sure you can get in a turn check-raise, but that's chancing it a little.
Then I read Zach's comment and I agree, that the T out there changes the complexion of the hand. Any non broadway card leaves room to play it a little tricky (as you seem to have). So now I'm back to wondering why not 3 bet the flop? Make the gutshots pay.
This is a board where your opponent seems to want to go to war, Actuary. He raised it up from MP, you 3-bet him from the big- a line many players read as relatively strong- lead an all-broadway paint, and he puts a raise in on you. He knows you like your hand, but he still likes his (or wants you to think he does).
In situations like this, like everyone else has mentioned, there are action killing cards that can roll right off the deck, and shut your opponent down. What're you planning to do if one of the queens or jacks rolls off? Because it might just go check/check a good portion of the time. Or do you lead out? Then if you get raised? Are you STILL planning on check-raising?
He wants money going in, let's let him get as much money in on the flop as he can. Might not stay the same for awhile. 3-bet the flop. His hand is obviously pretty strong, so you can STILL probably even try to get a check/raise in on the turn AFTER the three-bet, if you're really dead-set on it.
So, in short, I agree- in theory- with some of the analysis forwarded so far. Except I'm pretty sure that by check/raising the turn you're charging the gutshots the absolute maximum...
Wang