gamblingmonkey

I think Matt Matros is a very talented young writer. I read his book and found it thoroughly enjoyable. I'd reccommend it. I've never seen the boy play so i can't really form any sort of opinion on whether or not he's a great player, but from reading his book i think its obvious that he's a decent writer. From what he says about the game (even though his book is far from a 'how to..' manual) he appears to be a very lucid thinker about the game too. I'm sure Mr. Lindgren would be only too happy to have someone like Matt help out in writing a book. Mr. Lindgren is a good player, fair enou

I can see your POV here too ukpoker. In the first hand BG's call here is not a terrible play at all. He's a bit unlucky to find himself in bad shape, there are a lot of hands that he is getting good odds on his money to beat and in the worst case scenario (which he has run into) he still knows he has a minimum of 7 good outs to the nuts. He's made a good call as long as DN hasn't got a made flush or a set, and i imagine DN can make this play in many circumstances where he has neither of these holdings. I still prefer the way DN played this compared to flat calling on the flop and betting o

Your roulette analogy doesn't apply here. I'm not really one for the wheel but i'm presuming you are offerring me even money on a 2-1 shot being run twice. That's not a smart bet for me to take, i agree fully. With the flush draw in question the situation is totally different. Firstly even with the full 9 outs to the nut flush you are 2-1 to make your hand BY THE RIVER. You aren't running a 2-1 shot twice. You are being offered 1.4:1 to run a 2-1 shot once (or alternatively 1.4:1 to run an ~4-1 shot twice). That's a bet i want to take. It'd be me cleaning you out after a while. Now

Forgive me if my stats are slightly inaccurate... Preflop: 10K to go, 2 runners + 2 blinds = ~21K in pot On Flop: BG bets 10K, 31K in pot. DN raises 100K (the ammount BG has in front of him), t0tal bet 110K. Now there is 141K in the pot and its 100K for BG to call. BG wins 28.74 % of the time (i ran it) but lets call it 33% to make the mental arithmatic easy (and he thinks he has 9 outs not 7 from his point of view). BG calls 9 times. He wins 3. So he loses 6x100K = 600K and wins 141Kx3= ~420K. He seems to lose ~180K every 9 times he plays this h

You must also consider that in some cases a big bet on the flop can trap your opponents into calling for all their chips drawing almost dead. For example in the Kc-9c hand. A big bet gets the money in against hands like Qc-Tc or 4c-5c, one of which is drawing dead and the other very slim. Or what if your opponent has Qc-7x? He might feel that you are trying to protect your hand and call thinking he has many outs when in fact he is dead to runner-runner. With hands like Qc-7 or 4c5c, or many other strong cards like KK/QQ etc... a fourth club on the turn, whilst not a bad card for you (you

My apologies, I was supposed to write 'This is NOT a tourney' in the above post. My arguments do not apply as completely if it were so that was a pretty bad typo. Thanks for pointing it out... The Gambling Monkey Can you edit posts so i can correct the error? Ah... i see... the small button labelled 'edit' does the trick. Typo now corrected.

Daniel's blog indicates there are many prop bets associated with draw games such as 2-7 lowball. To declare a winning prop in your hand you must obviously prove it to your fellow players. This would involve needing to show your hand to other players thus revealing cards/information to other players who should not be privy to such information. Information on what cards are dead and which are live is pretty important in draw games and showing your hand during the actual play of the hand is clearly not possible. How do you get around this? Does everyone keep their cards in front of them

You're obviously missing the point. In case one - 2nd nut flush - BG needs approx. 2-1 pot odds to make his call correct on the flop. By putting him in on the flop DN is not offering him this (there's ~35K in there and its 100K to call). Thus BG is making a mistake to call (in terms of the fundemental theorum of poker). In fact he's making a horrendous error considering DN's holding, but to be fair to BG he doesn't know his overcards aren't live. If you bet that much on the flop the only error might be that your opponent does NOT call and you miss out on some value bets when he's drawing