Back On The 5/10 Horse
#1
Posted 21 May 2007 - 08:21 AM
The villains in this hand are mostly unknown since I sat down only a short while ago and haven't really done anything to be noticed yet. The one thing that I do feel about MP3 is that he's just a horrible player and very passive. This would be confirmed later in the night as I logged more hours but, for this hand, is mostly irrelevant becuase he's not the major player in the hand.
The CO is a player who is getting ready to get up (after this hand in fact) and go play in the $1000 daily tournament.
I have like $1200 in MP1 with 55 (suits irrelevant)
MP3 has $1000
CO has $1100
I open limp, MP3 limps, CO raises to $30, BB calls, I call and MP3 calls.
Flop - 4 Players - $125
K T 5 rainbow
BB checks, I lead for $90, MP3 calls, CO calls and BB folds.
Turn - 3 Players - $395
9 completes rainbow board
I lead for $250, MP3 calls and the CO calls.
River - 3 Players - $1145
3 (Final Board: KT593 rainbow)
I decide to check, MP3 checks and the CO thinks for a bit then goes all-in for ~$700.
Hero?
#2
Posted 21 May 2007 - 08:35 AM
It has to almost be TOTAL air, and I just don't get that feeling.
TT KK and JQ are all plausible here imo.
#3
Posted 21 May 2007 - 08:38 AM
I don't like your flop lead. I think you are likely to get called by wide range of hands there.
I cannot see how betting the turn is anything but spewing. The most likely (only) draw just hit, and you had two callers on the flop. Just let it go.
The river is very difficult without a read. I probably sigh and pay it off, but I'm a POW.
#4
Posted 21 May 2007 - 08:39 AM
Do we think maybe MP3 has a straight? Surely he's not checking the nuts on the river, though.
I call.
#5
Posted 21 May 2007 - 08:43 AM
Yeah, see what everyone else did. I really had no clue what the CO held, so I figured that checking was the best option so that I could re-evaluate after seeing his river action.
I really thought if MP3 had a straight then I'd have been raised on the turn. His range probably included any Kx, AQ, QT and all hands like that. He really was retarded but I was never really considering that he had me beaten the way this hand played out.
#6
Posted 21 May 2007 - 08:47 AM
I cannot see how betting the turn is anything but spewing. The most likely (only) draw just hit, and you had two callers on the flop. Just let it go.
I lead the flop with a variety of hands and I do it fairly often. In this case, I think it's a good play because I potentially trap the calling station MP3 in between myself and the PFR for a bet and then I get to reraise after there's more money in the pot.
What line would you take on the turn? I think that against a passive opponent and a random hand (CO) that a bet-fold line (which is what this was) is the best line to take here. I think that check-folding or check-calling (and hoping to fill up) are considerably worse lines to take becuase you really gain no information except that you gave up the lead and someone else has now taken it with a hand that you know very little about.
I think that if I check the turn, most observant players are betting like 90% of the time with or without the straight which would put me in a horrible position.
#7
Posted 21 May 2007 - 08:50 AM
I call here and hope MP3 calls as well. I don't expect to win this all the time, but I think if we're beat, we're beat by a slowplayed KK from the CO. I think the majority of time, we scoop this pot, though. I just have a hard time putting the CO on QJ with his small preflop raise. I think AQ is more likely.
Jay

#9
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:04 AM
In that case, I think we have to fold. If before the river, we feel we have MP3 but we're concerned about a possible overset from the cut-off, then check/call isn't as good as bet/call.
I say call originally because I don't feel that a push from the cutoff really tells me I'm beat here. I really thought you were trying to extract information about MP3's hand.
#10
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:14 AM
#11
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:22 AM
#12
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:29 AM
Definitely but I think when players are leaving they are more concerned about not losing than extracting maximum value. I don't know if I'd muck in real time just because I'd think they only hand that beats me has JQ and it hasn't played out too JQish, but I think 1010 and KK are in his range now that I look at it given his coming departure.
#13
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:35 AM
I actually think it can do strange things to people. Rather than take away $700, he has a chance to walk away with over $1800. This pot pays for his tournament.
#14
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:37 AM
If he's concerned more about "not losing" then why is he pushing the river here without QJ? Why would he not raise the turn with QJ?
I think that if he had KK, TT or QJ (obviously the only 3 hands that I think he can hold to beat me) then he played it really weird. If he had any other hand like AK, KT, QQ, AQ (thanks Naismith) or anything else, he also played it really weird, especially pushing the river.
#15
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:44 AM
I think that if he had KK, TT or QJ (obviously the only 3 hands that I think he can hold to beat me) then he played it really weird. If he had any other hand like AK, KT, QQ, AQ (thanks Naismith) or anything else, he also played it really weird, especially pushing the river.
He might have been convinced that he was ahead by the two river checks. He flat calls the flop with AK or KQ so he doesn't scare off a worse king. "Oh crap, the straight got there. Better just call." River bricks. "WTF? They all checked. This hand must be good. I can't bet/fold for my stack size, so I might as well make this look like a bluff and see if the hero makes a call with KJ."
#16
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:45 AM
I think that if he had KK, TT or QJ (obviously the only 3 hands that I think he can hold to beat me) then he played it really weird. If he had any other hand like AK, KT, QQ, AQ (thanks Naismith) or anything else, he also played it really weird, especially pushing the river.
I think of the other hands you listed the only one that he might push the river with is AQ. If he had the others he wasn't drawing and thought that they were good and should go to showdown with his hand because he is not getting called by worse hands if he shoves with the others.
#17
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:48 AM
Calling the turn with a gut-shot is pretty loose. Bluffing the river makes some sense, but I can't see getting there with that hand.
#18
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:52 AM
I decide to check, MP3 checks and the CO thinks for a bit then goes all-in for ~$700.
Hero?
I think you checked giving CO a chance to bluff or value bet his K, I don't really see how you can fold. You can't be worried about MP3 behind you, he would have bet if he had you beat. If CO is anywhere near competent he's not flat calling the turn with QJ with two other people in the pot. Even a passive player should be raising with the nuts. This just seems too much like a good king that was scared to raise but now thinks his hand might be good.
You can accept all in whenever you want, or whenever you feel lucky, but in virtual room's is not like in reality. In reality anything is possible... in virtual rooms you can be "the one" who knows the future, or who can change the future.
#19
Posted 21 May 2007 - 09:58 AM
LOL. Well I could justify me getting there with AQ and shoving more often than doing the other things. I think this looks more like KK and 1010 than anything else, he might have been looking to trap with KK saw the 9 turn and it scared him because MP3 flat calls again, then once he is checked to on river he is sure once again that his hand is best.
I can justify that and AQ hoping for big implied odds over pushing one pair hands on the river here.
#20
Posted 21 May 2007 - 10:01 AM
The only hands that I see making this bet are hands that he knows are almost certain to be winning (KK, TT, QJ) or hands that have no chance of winning (use your imagination here). It seems to be suicidal to value-push a hand like AK or something here. Maybe KT? Wouldn't he have raised somewhere?
The problem with him having air was that he overcalled bets on the flop AND turn.
I guess this hand is more interesting than I thought.
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