meservery 0 Posted May 1, 2007 Share Posted May 1, 2007 Full Tilt PokerPot Limit Omaha Ring gameBlinds: $0.25/$0.506 playersConverterStack sizes:UTG: $15.60UTG+1: $93.10Hero: $50Button: $23.50SB: $28BB: $55.05Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with A T 4 K UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero raises to $2.75, Button folds, SB calls, BB calls, 2 folds.Flop: 9 T Q ($9.25, 3 players)SB bets $3.5, BB raises to $19.75, Hero? Link to post Share on other sites
bdc30 0 Posted May 1, 2007 Share Posted May 1, 2007 I think you have to muck this. Sucks though...Most of your outs are probably in their hands already. Link to post Share on other sites
BudBundy 0 Posted May 1, 2007 Share Posted May 1, 2007 Are you kidding?Hero pushes all in and yells "ONE TIME!!" We have flush outs , straight outs , a ton of backdoor draws. I am pretty sure we are favourite against a naked straight or set without redraws......Someone should do the math tho.*BudBundy looks at Simo with puppy eyes. Link to post Share on other sites
simo_8ball 1 Posted May 1, 2007 Share Posted May 1, 2007 ...Someone should do the math tho.*BudBundy looks at Simo with puppy eyes. Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing Qs 9s Tdcards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EVAs Ts Kd 4d 344 41.95 476 58.05 0 0.00 0.420Qc 3c 2c Qh 476 58.05 344 41.95 0 0.00 0.580 Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing Qs 9s Tdcards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EVAs Ts Kd 4d 289 35.24 523 63.78 8 0.98 0.357Ks Js Qc Qh 523 63.78 289 35.24 8 0.98 0.643 Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing Qs 9s Tdcards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EVAs Ts Kd 4d 403 49.15 409 49.88 8 0.98 0.496Ks Js 3c 2c 409 49.88 403 49.15 8 0.98 0.504 I think I'm happy getting it in here. At worst we are a 2/1 dog. Link to post Share on other sites
bdc30 0 Posted May 1, 2007 Share Posted May 1, 2007 We have flush outs (correct - how many though? there HAVE to be spades in the other guy's hands to make this bet and raise, don't there?) , straight outs (we're drawing to ONLY a jack, which also must be in other guys hands the way the action has played out) , a ton of backdoor draws (what backdoor draws? a diamond maybe? - what else?) Sorta my thoughts in a nutsell. We're looking at 6-8 outs tops, with 2 to come. Meh. Link to post Share on other sites
meservery 0 Posted May 1, 2007 Author Share Posted May 1, 2007 Some of our outs are probably gone sure. But I cant really see us only having 6-8. That seems awfully low. Link to post Share on other sites
BudBundy 0 Posted May 1, 2007 Share Posted May 1, 2007 When we are counting our outs , we can't say "they have to have some of our spades". Any rainbow KJ is making the same re-raise. I don't see how we are drawing to only one jack either. You are putting us on the worst shape possible - Both bettor and raiser should have Nut straight with flush backups - while we will be against top two , set , or nut straight most of the time.We have a diamond draw. we have a pair on the flop which can lead to a FH. Small chances but they definitely add to our chance. Remember how many times you lost to runner runner FH or flush while you are holding the nut straight. Link to post Share on other sites
bdc30 0 Posted May 1, 2007 Share Posted May 1, 2007 I never said just one jack. - I said we're drawing to ONLY a jack for a straight, we have a gutshot draw only.I just think there are spots I'd rather be stuffing money in to a pot, such as with a huge wrap draw or a set already or something like that. Link to post Share on other sites
BudBundy 0 Posted May 1, 2007 Share Posted May 1, 2007 Folding definitely can't be a huge mistake.How about thisYou just watched Sammy Farha on HSP and you feel like gambling.Do you flat call to drag SB in or re-pot to push him off? Link to post Share on other sites
meservery 0 Posted May 1, 2007 Author Share Posted May 1, 2007 Folding definitely can't be a huge mistake.How about thisYou just watched Sammy Farha on HSP and you feel like gambling.Do you flat call to drag SB in or re-pot to push him off?My hand would be a lot worse and my opponent would be better than Freddy Deeb. Link to post Share on other sites
bdc30 0 Posted May 1, 2007 Share Posted May 1, 2007 Fold>Push>Call imo. Link to post Share on other sites
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