13 replies to this topic

[timwakefield]

$10 rebuy on Stars, about 40 players left. No specific reads, only played maybe 25 hands at this table. Had a nice stack, got crippled KK < AA, doubled up, and now I have JJ. I open-pushed about 4 times as short stack so far and was called once. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t16000 (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Hero (t93542)CO (t345584)Button (t147225)SB (t325606)BB (t66723)UTG (t135971)UTG+1 (t142930)MP1 (t146943)Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J, J. 1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t142130, MP1 raises to t146143,

[copernicus]

Id call here, but its close. Youre probably 35% to win and getting 2:1 odds plus blinds, and tripling up makes you a realistic force in the tourney. If it were bubble or in the money Id fold.

[timwakefield]

copernicus, on Friday, April 6th, 2007, 11:24 PM, said:

If it were bubble or in the money Id fold.

It's deep into the money, about 270 places paid.

[copernicus]

timwakefield, on Saturday, April 7th, 2007, 3:28 AM, said:

It's deep into the money, about 270 places paid.

still not deep enough into the money where moving up one spot outweighs the $EV of tripling up though.

[YBravo]

Yeah, with M's so small, I think this ends up being a call. I think there are enough situations where the other two both have an ace or they have something like A-K and 9-9. Also, UTG+1 might have something ridiculous trying to take advantage of FIV. I don't think folding is a huge mistake, but tripling up is really fun.

[timwakefield]

Bump because we have another almost identical thread, and I'm hoping to get some more input on this one. It was definitely the key hand of the tournament for me.

[Footballguru]

id call...but im a fish

[TwoFourOffsuit]

Damn, that table has some short big-stacks for there being 40 people left. I guess everyone left hung on for as long as they could.You're in the money, you're not gonna get many more shots to make a move like this with a pocket this good or better, and you're already very very short with about 6 BB's left. Call this and hope for the best.

[timwakefield]

I think the reason I'm so tentative here is that the 2nd push is really representing a monster, and I feel like such a schmuck calling there and seeing an overpair. Obviously vs one player I'm breaking my wrist to get it in, but what does the 2nd player have that I can beat? AK or TT? Is his range much wider than that? 99? AQ?

[ChrisRichey]

I think it's close, but I prob make the call. As short as they are, I think we can put the first guy on AJs+/66+ and prob AQs+/88+ for the second guy which makes us about 37%. Gamboooooool!!!

[timwakefield]

ChrisRichey, on Saturday, April 7th, 2007, 5:06 PM, said:

I think it's close, but I prob make the call. As short as they are, I think we can put the first guy on AJs+/66+ and prob AQs+/88+ for the second guy which makes us about 37%. Gamboooooool!!!

I think the first guy's range is actually much wider, but of course it's not him I'm worried about. In his spot I would push probably any pair, and probably something like AT+, KT+, QT+.

[ChrisRichey]

Yeah, my ranges were prob a little tight given their stack sizes, but it still shows that you're certainly getting the odds to make the call.

[chgocubs99]

Results please.

[timwakefield]

chgocubs99, on Saturday, April 7th, 2007, 6:08 PM, said:

Results please.

I folded, first guy had TT, caller had 99.