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#1 Doug

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 07:06 AM

I play 10 man sitngo's vs AWFUL players. I mean awful, today one of them called a re-raise with 5c7c against a rock who held kings. I don't really make mistakes and the only way these guys beat me is usually suckouts or when I hold a hand such as JJ vs their KK as I have to re-raise because they are capable of re-raising me with ace nine etc.Have no idea what these things are, please tell me whether I am doing well or not.SNG ITM%: 57.14%SNG ROI: 87.30%I probably havn't played enough to get a really accurate overview but just tell me if I should be doing better etc. Thanks =)
3 reasons why you can accept all in withouth see the floop:

1. if i am 200% convinced that i am a lucky guy and i will win

2. if i have the cards in hand that i wish(diferent cases: AA; AK; ... etc)

3. if i have a so called PokerRNG program that can copy the original RNG

#2 litlebullet

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 07:52 AM

View PostDoug, on Thursday, March 29th, 2007, 7:06 AM, said:

I play 10 man sitngo's vs AWFUL players. I mean awful, today one of them called a re-raise with 5c7c against a rock who held kings. I don't really make mistakes and the only way these guys beat me is usually suckouts or when I hold a hand such as JJ vs their KK as I have to re-raise because they are capable of re-raising me with ace nine etc.Have no idea what these things are, please tell me whether I am doing well or not.SNG ITM%: 57.14%SNG ROI: 87.30%I probably havn't played enough to get a really accurate overview but just tell me if I should be doing better etc. Thanks =)
Looks to me like you're crushing them, lol.87.30% means you've almost doubled your starting investment.Of course ITM means in the money percentage.You can't keep that rate up in the long run. Enjoy it while you can.

#3 rgold79

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 08:28 AM

Sample size?

#4 Doug

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 09:33 AM

Sample size is about 30+sng's but I know I can at least keep this up at this level of awful play.
3 reasons why you can accept all in withouth see the floop:

1. if i am 200% convinced that i am a lucky guy and i will win

2. if i have the cards in hand that i wish(diferent cases: AA; AK; ... etc)

3. if i have a so called PokerRNG program that can copy the original RNG

#5 pokerfan1080

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 09:45 AM

View PostDoug, on Thursday, March 29th, 2007, 2:33 PM, said:

Sample size is about 30+sng's but I know I can at least keep this up at this level of awful play.
Your sample size is way to small.I think to get a decent understanding of your long term results you'll need about 500.Good start though.
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#6 Doug

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 10:36 AM

Yeah I know it's way too small but I know I will get more or less the same results as I am getting now. I have around a 70-75% heads up win vs these guys because they are so easy to play and I am pretty good at HU. This alone creates a lot of value as I finish first a lot more than I should. Also these guys play garbage and will call pot sized bets to hit bottom ends of the straights remember. One question though, what do ITM% and ROI actually stand for?Not to sound big headed but I am way too good for these players, they throw their money at me. I would be playing at higher limits but I am a student and don't have the BR.
3 reasons why you can accept all in withouth see the floop:

1. if i am 200% convinced that i am a lucky guy and i will win

2. if i have the cards in hand that i wish(diferent cases: AA; AK; ... etc)

3. if i have a so called PokerRNG program that can copy the original RNG

#7 Zach6668

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 10:50 AM

Your sample size is tiny.You will almost definitely not be able to sustain your ROI.
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#8 litlebullet

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 11:30 AM

you'll quickly get the bank roll for dollar sng's. If you're playing antying less than dollar ones, then sure you might be able to sustain a HUGE roi, but I'm not sure how satifying that would be in the long run. Play the level you want right now though. ROI means rate of interest, how much cash you've made as a percent compared to your cumulative buyins. So let's say you have played 20 5 dollar tourneys, and you've made 150 dollars. Your roi would be 50% (150-100= 50 dollars/ 100 dollars= 50%.) ITM means in the money. That's pretty obvious what that means. Seriously, play the dollar sng's if you can, then take a 500 or 1000 sng sample then see what your stats really are.

#9 jmbreslin

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 12:03 PM

You can't keep up that level of play for the simple fact that the percentages will start to even things out a bit. Over the long run, your opponents will suck out more often and you'll run into more of those JJ vs. KK situations. The result is that you'll experience more bustouts out of the money when your weak opponents win more of those hands they "shouldn't" win.I can't remember where I came across it first, but I read a post by a player in another forum who analyzed the results of something like 10,000 SNG's from different quality players at various levels. Based on his analysis, one of his conclusions was that the absolute best that any player can expect to do over the long run is to finish in the money about 44% of the time.
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#10 Actuary

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 08:10 PM

ROI is Return on Invesment.

#11 litlebullet

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 08:30 PM

View PostActuary, on Thursday, March 29th, 2007, 8:10 PM, said:

ROI is Return on Invesment.
oops. As Carlos Mencia says dee-dee-dee. Pretty lame when you type it. Uhh... I knew what it meant at least.

#12 trystero

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Posted 30 March 2007 - 04:53 AM

What do you want a check-up for? These aren't the stats you usually use for a check-up. Those are PT stats like VPIP, PFR, WTSD%, etc, to make sure you're doing the basics 'right.' These just say that you're crushing the limits you're playing.Your sample size is way too small, as others have mentioned. Go on a downswing and even the worst of players will take a lot of your money.

#13 Abbaddabba

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Posted 30 March 2007 - 09:13 AM

When people post threads like this, there's a formula that should generally be applied to get a more accurate estimate...Take the square root of the winrate (or ROI), divide 0.75, and add a negative sign to the front of it.

#14 GetSprung

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Posted 02 April 2007 - 01:23 AM

If you maintain this sick ROI over 500 sngs I'll personally buy you dinner. I like buying dinner for good poker players, I'm a sicko.
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#15 GABMAD

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Posted 05 April 2007 - 11:20 AM

honestly...get a bigger sample size...i can wipe my *** with your stats because they mean nothing. and you can't maintain an 87% ROI no matter how bad they are. You know that 87 is an amazing and impossibe to sustain ROI so why even ask. You're bragging, but your sample size is way to small for it to mean anything. Get at least 1000 sit and go's and then you'll know your approximate true ROI

#16 Doug

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Posted 05 April 2007 - 11:34 AM

Im not bragging as you can see in my first post (if you had bothered to read topics and not just posted a useless reply in each and every topic of the general strategy section) That i Didn't know what these abbreviations of letters meant. Thanks for the input everyone else though, I may repost the stats in about 300 sitngo's or so.
3 reasons why you can accept all in withouth see the floop:

1. if i am 200% convinced that i am a lucky guy and i will win

2. if i have the cards in hand that i wish(diferent cases: AA; AK; ... etc)

3. if i have a so called PokerRNG program that can copy the original RNG

#17 Actuary

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Posted 05 April 2007 - 05:57 PM

View PostGABMAD, on Thursday, April 5th, 2007, 11:20 AM, said:

Get at least 1000 sit and go's and then you'll know your approximate true ROI
you don't need 1000 unless your game skill is changing significantly.250 is plenty to get a very close ROI figure 95% of the timr.

#18 GABMAD

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Posted 05 April 2007 - 07:40 PM

View PostActuary, on Friday, April 6th, 2007, 1:57 AM, said:

you don't need 1000 unless your game skill is changing significantly.250 is plenty to get a very close ROI figure 95% of the timr.
where are you getting those numbers?

#19 Actuary

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Posted 05 April 2007 - 07:47 PM

View PostGABMAD, on Thursday, April 5th, 2007, 7:40 PM, said:

where are you getting those numbers?
personal experience.But if you want the math, I'll get that for you.I may be wrong?

#20 GABMAD

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Posted 05 April 2007 - 07:48 PM

View PostActuary, on Friday, April 6th, 2007, 3:47 AM, said:

personal experience.But if you want the math, I'll get that for you.I may be wrong?
from personal experience...i had 1300 sit and go's and an ROI of 17...500 sit and go's where I go through my worst run to date losing 4.5 k....ROI is 11. 250 is not enough.




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