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Pair + Flush Draw


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#1 chgocubs99

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Posted 27 March 2007 - 06:31 PM

Blinds - $2/5. I have about $900 in front of me when the following hand comes up:

I pick up 6-7 of spades on the cutoff seat. Hypo-aggro in LP makes it $20 after 2 limpers. I call the $20. Button goes all in for $46 total. Both limpers call as does the LP aggro. I call the additional $26 and we see a flop.

8 6 3 with two spades.

EP bets $150. New player but is agressive and is clearly a regular. He has $700 or so behind. Hypo-aggro in LP calls the $150. He has around $700 behind as well.


What do I do??
QUOTE (dscoot @ Friday, April 10th, 2009, 3:20 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
im still not sold that many of these people that get these big online scores are winners when it comes to the live game, which, by the way, is real poker.


#2 fckthis

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Posted 27 March 2007 - 06:37 PM

Shove.
Mike Matusow: want to play some o 8
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#3 Naismith

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Posted 27 March 2007 - 08:59 PM

QUOTE (fckthis @ Tuesday, March 27th, 2007, 6:37 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Shove.


Succinct.

Also, agreed.
Peace,
Jay



#4 krup24

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 04:53 AM

QUOTE (fckthis @ Tuesday, March 27th, 2007, 10:37 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Shove.


and pray you don't get a call from another flush draw or set
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#5 mtdesmoines

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 05:50 AM

QUOTE (Naismith @ Tuesday, March 27th, 2007, 8:59 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Succinct.

Also, agreed.



I'm not sure I agree.

We're working a $300 pot with a +/-$750 stack and second pair, flush draw on a low board. Too many hands here utterly kill us here to give LAGs our money. They'll certainly give us better spots.
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#6 No_Neck

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 06:02 AM

QUOTE (mtdesmoines @ Wednesday, March 28th, 2007, 9:50 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I'm not sure I agree.

We're working a $300 pot with a +/-$750 stack and second pair, flush draw on a low board. Too many hands here utterly kill us here to give LAGs our money. They'll certainly give us better spots.


so you say call?

gamboooooollllll

#7 Acid_Knight

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 06:36 AM

Unless there are compelling reasons to say otherwise, I've stopped advising people to fold pairs and flush draws. It's just easier that way.

#8 mtdesmoines

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 07:05 AM

QUOTE (Acid_Knight @ Wednesday, March 28th, 2007, 6:36 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Unless there are compelling reasons to say otherwise, I've stopped advising people to fold pairs and flush draws. It's just easier that way.


My bad. Sometimes I forget which team I'm on.
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#9 myenemy

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 07:06 AM

QUOTE (Acid_Knight @ Wednesday, March 28th, 2007, 10:36 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Unless there are compelling reasons to say otherwise, I've stopped advising people to fold pairs and flush draws. It's just easier that way.

HAHA.. I'll bite. I fold.

Even though it is $150 into a $530 pot, there is too much evidence suggesting either a set or better FD (or worse both!!), BCS we're vs. an overpair. I can certainly get my money in better than that.

#10 rdtedm

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 08:50 AM

QUOTE (myenemy @ Wednesday, March 28th, 2007, 9:06 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
HAHA.. I'll bite. I fold.

Even though it is $150 into a $530 pot, there is too much evidence suggesting either a set or better FD (or worse both!!), BCS we're vs. an overpair. I can certainly get my money in better than that.


Folding here is too weak. I think shoving is the only right move, because calling lets other people draw to the flush when they most likely don't have a pair that beats ours. If we can get our money in and get one person to fold, even if we're against an overpair, we're drawing to 9 outs for the flush, 2 for trips, and 3 for two pair, and possibly running straight cards. This gives us 14 outs with two cards to come assuming villain has an overpair. If he has a set or two pair, we've still got outs.

I want to emphasize that this is never a fold given the odds, at the very least this is a call and re-evaluation on the turn.

#11 Acid_Knight

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 09:50 AM

QUOTE (myenemy @ Wednesday, March 28th, 2007, 8:06 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Even though it is $150 into a $530 pot, there is too much evidence suggesting either a set or better FD (or worse both!!), BCS we're vs. an overpair. I can certainly get my money in better than that.

Where is this evidence. There is a bet and a call on the flop, that's it. You shouldn't be looking for excuses to call or excuses to fold, you should be looking at the information objectively and trying to decide what it's telling you. I don't really see any evidence in this hand that gives away much about the hands of either villain. Since we don't have much information and we have a fairly strong hand then we shouldn't be folding.

#12 Naismith

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 12:15 PM

Yeah, I think saying there's obviously a set and a flush draw is seeing monsters. Of course, there might be, but there's certainly no evidence to say definitively.

I push because I want the 300 dollars in the side pot and I want to go against the all in with a hand that's in really good shape against his range for that last 200 bucks. If someone calls me with a set, well, that sucks for them. Sorry about your luck, Mr. Set. In any case, a push here represents some serious strength and folds a lot of hands that beat what we have.
Peace,
Jay



#13 Acid_Knight

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 12:29 PM

QUOTE (Naismith @ Wednesday, March 28th, 2007, 1:15 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Sorry about your luck, Mr. Set.

What's that, a set of 8s? It's ok, I've got outs.

Turn: 6
River 6

See icon_biggrin.gif

#14 Naismith

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 02:37 PM

QUOTE (Acid_Knight @ Wednesday, March 28th, 2007, 12:29 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
What's that, a set of 8s? It's ok, I've got outs.

Turn: 6
River 6

See icon_biggrin.gif


That's how you win with style.
Peace,
Jay



#15 Zach6668

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 02:59 PM

If you were to get it all in (or shove and have him fold) with middle pair and a flush draw 100% of the time, you'd come out ahead.
QUOTE (serge @ Tuesday, May 12th, 2009, 7:20 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
LETS GO PITTSBURGH
QUOTE (Acid_Knight @ Monday, March 10th, 2008, 4:15 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Zach is right about pretty much everything.

#16 chgocubs99

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 07:34 PM

QUOTE (rdtedm @ Wednesday, March 28th, 2007, 11:50 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Folding here is too weak. I think shoving is the only right move, because calling lets other people draw to the flush when they most likely don't have a pair that beats ours. If we can get our money in and get one person to fold, even if we're against an overpair, we're drawing to 9 outs for the flush, 2 for trips, and 3 for two pair, and possibly running straight cards. This gives us 14 outs with two cards to come assuming villain has an overpair. If he has a set or two pair, we've still got outs.

I want to emphasize that this is never a fold given the odds, at the very least this is a call and re-evaluation on the turn.



I agree with this post.

I folded the hand.

Part of the problem with the way I played the hand was not using the information I had gathered, most importantly that I was playing against two very LAG players. That being said, let's eliminate my admittidely weak play (folding) and look at my other two options:

1) Call. My problem here is, what am I looking to hit on the turn? Let's say a blank falls. The guy who fired $150 now shoves. What's my play now? I was assuming (incorrectly so) that he would fire on the turn after the strong flop bet. Odds of me hitting with one card to come only? I am not getting the right odds...not to mention I HAD to consider the possibility that someone had higher spades as well, which would then stack me considering the size of the pot.

2) Shove. This, I am fairly certain, is the correct play considering the players and the situation. It is for the exact reason that Zach said.


As someone posted about picking a better spot, I did get it all in with one of the LAG's in a "better spot" later in the session. However, the ends do not justify the means.
QUOTE (dscoot @ Friday, April 10th, 2009, 3:20 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
im still not sold that many of these people that get these big online scores are winners when it comes to the live game, which, by the way, is real poker.


#17 Naismith

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Posted 28 March 2007 - 10:31 PM

QUOTE (chgocubs99 @ Wednesday, March 28th, 2007, 7:34 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I agree with this post.

I folded the hand.

Part of the problem with the way I played the hand was not using the information I had gathered, most importantly that I was playing against two very LAG players. That being said, let's eliminate my admittidely weak play (folding) and look at my other two options:

1) Call. My problem here is, what am I looking to hit on the turn? Let's say a blank falls. The guy who fired $150 now shoves. What's my play now? I was assuming (incorrectly so) that he would fire on the turn after the strong flop bet. Odds of me hitting with one card to come only? I am not getting the right odds...not to mention I HAD to consider the possibility that someone had higher spades as well, which would then stack me considering the size of the pot.

2) Shove. This, I am fairly certain, is the correct play considering the players and the situation. It is for the exact reason that Zach said.
As someone posted about picking a better spot, I did get it all in with one of the LAG's in a "better spot" later in the session. However, the ends do not justify the means.


Could you please post the hands of the players involved?
Peace,
Jay



#18 mtdesmoines

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 07:21 AM

QUOTE (Naismith @ Wednesday, March 28th, 2007, 10:31 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Could you please post the hands of the players involved?


I think hero posted that his hand was mucked.

I really didn't like the advice of pushing with this hand.

We are connected to this flop, but it's likely we're behind.

I like that the hero waited for his spot and got his man.

Better than having to reshoot, rebuild and hope villain still has checks.
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#19 No_Neck

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 07:43 AM

how did this hand end? we must know.

#20 Acid_Knight

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Posted 29 March 2007 - 09:18 AM

It seems to be a common trend in this forum lately that whenever anyone posts a hand where they flop a pair and a flush draw with a suited connector (like, oh, this post for example) and there are 2 other people who are obviously interested in the pot, then the Hero (and many other posters) always want to assume the worst, which is that you're against a set and a bigger flush draw. It's as if no other possibilities exist.

When you play these hands, you're going to be in multiway pots. Quite often, several people will hit the flop. Sometimes they have sets, sometimes they have flush draws, overpairs, 2 pair, straight draws or other hands. Unless the action is VERY DEFINITIVE in the hand and there's a lot of evidence (that you can rationalize) pointing towards both your pair and your draw being totally dead, then you shouldn't be considering folding these hands.

Yes, you make a big mistake if you push and you ARE against a pair and a flush draw, but when you're against 2 overpairs and are a HUGE money favorite in the pot, you're making a similarly large mistake in folding.




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