As you say he plays 3/6 shed often, 1. Do you think the stakes woudl tighten him up 2. Do you think he may have a hard time taking his aggression down to adjust to a full table?
I haven't seen any really good thought on putting villian on a hand besides, he's slowplayed AA/KK, he's overplayed some non-sense, or he's running a bluff on you.
My thoughts working from the turn backwards:
AA/KK: turn: as no draw got there, this hand will feel fairly comfortable it's the best hand and be willing to get them in at this point. flop/turn check: Cobalt may be TAG, but most players will play some form of suited connector on the button against a preflop raiser. With this board so coordinated, Cobalt could be raising on a draw. So why do we not three bet the flop and how can we be sure Cobalt will be the turn and allow us to get the C/R in?
Ak-ajspades: I think this hand gets into the idea of what c-bets on the flop and just cold calls your reraise? stacks are too deep to try to get them all in on this flop for him, so he's forced to call and draw to his 14 outs. But does he really have the balls to pull this crazy C/R on you? Given your reraising range "might" include draws, medium pairs, etc, he can't really count on the C/R, so if he's bluffing he's just capitalizing on your bet on the turn thinking he can take away the hand.
99/jj: I don't think the turn action works at all for this. cobalt's feeling is that he knows villian will not think cobalt will stack off on a pair of 88s-, so I just don't see this hand.
10/10: c-bets the flop 100% of the time, but has a hard time 3-betting the reraise from cobalt because it's just not that strong of a hand and he's still OOP for the rest of the hand. Possibly going into c/C mode at this point unless cobalt bets 3 times at the pot. Turn: obviously a gin card, checks to see where cobalt is, cobalt's still betting and villian may think he has an overpair which is very difficult to get away from at this point. I think 10/10 makes the most sense as far as the way it's played, but it does have the least probability of occuring.
When I say that I see him at 3/6, I meant to clarify that villain probably knows that I'm playing above my normal stakes, while I've seen him at 5/10 enough to know that he's pretty comfortable there. As for the possibility of him playing more LAG than he should at full ring, I notice that he 3.5xOR somewhat frequently from late position and not so much from EP...so I figure he's compensating well.
As for pre-flop, yes...re-popping makes the decisions on this hand a lot easier, but I didn't mind likely taking the pot HU IP (as I said, the blinds were tight). That said,I think I probably re-pop pre-flop here around 75% of the time.
Villain can feel fairly comfortable on this flop with AA/KK (particularly if he holds the As or Ks) despite the presence of draws. My most likely hand in this scenario is some sort of medium overpair to the board...so I'm likely drawing to two outs. Additionally, based on what I know my betting patterns to be, I'll almost always follow up my flop raise with a turn bet...whether I'm on a draw or whatever...so he can be reasonably sure of getting a CR in. While I do call here pre-flop with suited connectors sometimes, that's probably not my reputation in his eyes.
Again, the difficulty with this hand is that I've under-represented what I'm holding...so villain can put me on a draw or pair 99-66.
I'll narrow his range after a little more discussion.