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Mid Pair, Nut Flush Draw


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#1 shrimp4789

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Posted 28 February 2007 - 12:22 PM

Hey again, just another big hand for me in a tournament, still unsure as to the correct line of action. 20 paid, and just short of 50 still in tournament, so no where near bubble. No real reads on villian. I am I think 4th overal in chips, and Villian is 2nd. Villian I would describe as TAG.

Game Type: Hold'em
Limit Type: No Limit
Table Type: Tournament
Blinds are now $150/$300

Villian - $10785
Hero - $7615

Hero has card_spades_a.gif card_spades_10.gif
Villian calls $300
4 folds
Hero raises to $1200
3 folds
Villian calls $1200

Flop is card_diamonds_10.gif card_spades_j.gif card_spades_7.gif
Villian bets $9585 (all-in)
Hero...?


So......whats your call?

#2 mk

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Posted 28 February 2007 - 12:43 PM

call, 14 outs twice.

#3 pokerguy33

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Posted 28 February 2007 - 01:23 PM

I probably call in this position, like stated above you have alot of outs. I expect anything from a set here, to a big pocket pair from 10's -AA's. So in this spot no dout that you are probably behind more times than not, and going to catch your flush draw, I call because you have mid pair, with top kicker, and drawing to the nuts. Like I said you will se a set, or high pocket pair, him trying to protect his hand from the flush, but IMO this is a call. And from all the outs villian may not like what comes on the later streets. How did the hand turn out?
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#4 Eight_Tabler

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Posted 28 February 2007 - 01:28 PM

Looks like there is $9265 in the pot and it is $6415 to call... (1.44-1) You need to be on avg. 41% or better to make this call, and I think you are easily that.

He might have flopped a set (or less likely a straight) which would be bad for you, but I think he could also easily have KQ or AQ which makes up for that possibility since you are a decent favorite against these. Not even AJ has you in that bad of shape, and most other hands are at least races for you. Call and pray.

The pf raise is aggressive, but I like it.
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