I just finished a $10+1 NL Tourney on Paradise. I was spot on every time I decided to play a hand. I felt great about how I played it, until it got down to four of us. This hand came up, which put me in a bind. Paradise Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t250 (4 handed) converterSB (t3370.00)BB (t1170.00)UTG (t2815.00)Hero (t2645.00)Preflop: Hero is Button with [8h], [8d]. SB posts a blind of t250. UTG raises to t1000, (All-In) calls t170.Flop: (t2590) [3d], [5c], [Kh] (2 players)Turn: (t2590) [8s] (2 players)River: (t2590) [Kd] (2 players)Final Pot: t2590Results in white below: BB has Ks Th (three of a kind, kings). UTG has 7d As (one pair, kings). Outcome: BB wins t2590. Sorry if you don't like to see the results, but I am not asking for help on the play or hand analysis, but am curious how often this happens to other people (happens to me A LOT!!) I told the raiser as soon as he raised that I was going to raise it. The guy next to me also said he was going to raise it as well if I didn't (he said right then that he had ace ten). As you can see, I folded a full house to UTG's stupid play with a naked ace. I am pretty sure I wasn't supposed to call this raise in my position (I hate coming in fourth, and had I lost this hand I would have for sure in my mind). Not long after this, I was down to $395 chips in the dealer position, but thankfully the BB from this hand had made a bad play and got put out. I ended up in third place (which I am happy about, but had I played this hand like I wanted to I have no doubt in my mind that I would have gotten at least second) when my ace jack offsuit was unable to bet pocket tens. UTG cost me at least $10, if not $30. Am I crazy to be upset about someone else's play here, or was I the fool for not calling or going all-in over top of UTG?
how many times does somebody's bad play cost you?
Started by Rocketwadster, Apr 06 2005 12:00 PM
5 replies to this topic
#1
Posted 06 April 2005 - 12:00 PM
#2
Posted 06 April 2005 - 12:05 PM
The fold isn't that bad. But, try not telling the guys you are going to raise and just playing your game. You really don't have a legit reason to be mad at the guy with A-rag.
#3
Posted 06 April 2005 - 12:15 PM
Swift_Psycho said:
The fold isn't that bad. But, try not telling the guys you are going to raise and just playing your game. You really don't have a legit reason to be mad at the guy with A-rag.
#4
Posted 06 April 2005 - 12:31 PM
If you think you're considerably better than this field, lay it down. WHY WOULD I LAY IT DOWN WHEN I HAVE THE BEST HAND!? Settle down, I'll tell you.If you have 8 8 and he has two overs and you call him and he gets lucky (which he will roughly 45% of the time) you might just be out of the tourney. While, granted, the other 55% of the time you will have a nice infusion into your stack, it's the 45% that we have to worry about. When you put your life on the line as a 55% favorite, your chances of going on to win the tourny drop to less than 55% since you don't know what will happen after that hand even if you do manage to double through, but 45% of the time you will lose right there. If you think your chances of winning the tourney if you fold here and hope to outplay them later are greater than the chances of winning the tourney if you get in here with a 45% chance to bust but a 55% chance to double through, then fold and pick a better spot. If you think you'd win 50% of the time if you fold this 88, then it's correct to fold. Granted, it's hard to be 50% sure you can win when you only have about 1/4 of the chips in play, but if you are good and they are lucky to be where they are, it's possible.Usually this play is only wise early in a tourney tho. Once I folded KK to two all-ins (both after my raise) and they showed AK and AQ, respectively. The AQ won with runner runner Q. I would have taken a major hit if I had played the hand, but I folded it. Was it wise? I don't know, but I won the tourney. In this case though, since blinds are 1/10th of most stacks, it's move-in poker. 88 is a good hand, why not push and pray. If you fold the best hand and steam the rest of your chips away over 75% of the time, then calling is clearly superior.
#5
Posted 06 April 2005 - 01:20 PM
Rocketwadster said:
As you can see, I folded a full house to UTG's stupid play with a naked ace. UTG cost me at least $10, if not $30. Am I crazy to be upset about someone else's play here, or was I the fool for not calling or going all-in over top of UTG?
#6
Posted 07 April 2005 - 04:27 AM
cdddc75 said:
Rocketwadster said:
As you can see, I folded a full house to UTG's stupid play with a naked ace. UTG cost me at least $10, if not $30. Am I crazy to be upset about someone else's play here, or was I the fool for not calling or going all-in over top of UTG?
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