DanielNegreanu, on Wednesday, January 3rd, 2007, 8:33 AM, said:
You run the risk of pricing in a player with a hand like 77 that is trying to flop a set on you. With a trash hand like this one, you don't want them to be priced in at all.
But then again, if they call you just to try and flop a set (and you read that as the case) then chances are you take it down postflop with a continuation bet.
I agree you'd rather they not call when you reraise with Q3o, but its not such a bad situation if the only hands they call your raise to 7k with (as opposed to reraising you or folding) are smallish pocket pairs. They're only going to hit a set roughly one out of 8 times and they're likely folding on the vast majority of other flops.I am assuming decent, tight players though, standard players in a high buyin live tournament. Moves like this obviously don't work as well in most internet tournaments where many people have a hard time laying down any pair when their stacks aren't that deep.But I still think most of the time standard tight players are going to fold preflop if you raise to 7k, putting you on a big pair and not wanting to risk more chips. They only have 30k and 40k respectively in their stacks, its not like they're getting that much in the way of implied odds. If one of them wants to call off almost 5k more of their stack just to likely fold to you on the flop, more power to them.The only real risk I see is both of them calling, but again, even if you just check fold after the flop every time (and never hit), you only need the preflop raise to work about 50% of the time if you make it 7k. Its closer to 60% if you make it 10k, and they're probably both folding more like 70-80% of the time whether you raise to 7k or 10k.