Stars $320
#1
Posted 30 November 2006 - 04:18 PM
PokerStars Game #7234127404: Tournament #36312335, $300+$20 Hold'em No
Limit - Level IX (200/400) - 2006/11/30 - 00:07:13 (ET)
Table '36312335 85' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: Dr Homer (17380 in chips)
Seat 2: rdog7811 (10405 in chips)
Seat 3: BadcardsAA (21715 in chips)
Seat 4: Yo brains (29371 in chips)
Seat 5: GSpin (9470 in chips)
Seat 6: yuan (15460 in chips)
Seat 7: NOQUARTR86 (21654 in chips)
Seat 8: NoPotForYou! (7220 in chips)
Seat 9: MattZman69 (33964 in chips)
Dr Homer: posts the ante 20
rdog7811: posts the ante 20
BadcardsAA: posts the ante 20
Yo brains: posts the ante 20
GSpin: posts the ante 20
yuan: posts the ante 20
NOQUARTR86: posts the ante 20
NoPotForYou!: posts the ante 20
MattZman69: posts the ante 20
rdog7811: posts small blind 200
BadcardsAA: posts big blind 400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to rdog7811 [Jc Jd]
Yo brains: folds
GSpin: raises 800 to 1200
yuan: folds
NOQUARTR86: folds
NoPotForYou!: folds
MattZman69: folds
Dr Homer: folds
rdog7811: calls 1000
BadcardsAA: calls 800
*** FLOP *** [4h 6h 8d]
rdog7811: checks
BadcardsAA: bets 2400
GSpin: raises 5850 to 8250 and is all-in
rdog7811: ???????
#2
Posted 30 November 2006 - 04:24 PM
#3
Posted 30 November 2006 - 04:32 PM
Postflop: Your best hope is that one of them is on the flush draw and the other guy has a mid-PP (9's or 10's). Worst case would be a set from the BB and an overpair from the EP guy.
I think that I have to fold here. If you're ahead, you probably have to dodge overcards and flush cards. If you're behind, you have two outs. You have enough chips to fold and be competitive.
#4
Posted 30 November 2006 - 05:02 PM
Wave upon wave of Demented Avengers march cheerfully out of obscurity into the dream.
#5
Posted 30 November 2006 - 08:38 PM
This one is fun, you can either call or reraise this hand PF. Folding is way too weak IMO. If I reraise I'm going to go ahead and shove it in. There is nearly 2k in the pot so you can increase your stack by 20% by just taking it down now.
If you call for a safe flop like you did, I would lead out with an open push. I want to give as little information as possible, I think you can get called by 99 and 1010 enough to warrant this and if he checks behind with AK you have really messed up by checking.
Edit: Sorry didn't realize you were asking about the play after the action, I agree with everyone else that I would fold without thinking too much about it.
#6
Posted 30 November 2006 - 10:02 PM
The BB lead complicates things too, as it looks like you're up against a draw and some sort of pocket pair (be it higher, lower, or a set). Honestly, I think you're equally likely to be against any pair 77-AA here with AJ-AK of hearts being possible as well. This decision's even closer than the preflop one, but I'd push here. You probably only end up winning this pot about 25% of the time (assuming it's three ways), but the dead money in the pot, and all the free steals you'll get going into the bubble make it worthwhile.
I think just the fact that this is a MTT where a lot of people are likely to be playing over their heads and a little scared makes this a call, as having a big stack will be even more valuable than normal. Again though, this is very close, and even the slightest read from bet timing or a few previous hands could be enough to sway it.
#7
Posted 30 November 2006 - 10:43 PM
#8
Posted 01 December 2006 - 05:36 AM
Hand 1: 59.8597 % { JJ }
Hand 2: 40.1403 % { 77+, A9s+, KQs, A9o+, KQo }
He also has room to fold, so add in maybe 10% FE. As you said, JJ is tough to play oop. I'd rather take it down now. But you know, grain of salt, I bubble a lot.
As played, looks like the flop is a fold, although I'd probably have led and called a shove since this is what we look like against MP's and BB's ranges with that flop:
Hand 1: 49.8670 % { JJ }
Hand 2: 27.0323 % { 77+, A9s+, KQs, A9o+, KQo }
Hand 3: 23.1007 % { random}
#9
Posted 01 December 2006 - 07:55 AM
As played I fold the flop. With two opponents betting, I'm pretty sure it's safe to say that one of them has you beat. Note: The highest I typically play is $50 MTT's though so the play might differ some. Is A8 a possible range?!? I wouldn't think so.
#10
Posted 01 December 2006 - 11:28 AM
Hand 1: 59.8597 % { JJ }
Hand 2: 40.1403 % { 77+, A9s+, KQs, A9o+, KQo }
He also has room to fold, so add in maybe 10% FE. As you said, JJ is tough to play oop. I'd rather take it down now. But you know, grain of salt, I bubble a lot.
As played, looks like the flop is a fold, although I'd probably have led and called a shove since this is what we look like against MP's and BB's ranges with that flop:
Hand 1: 49.8670 % { JJ }
Hand 2: 27.0323 % { 77+, A9s+, KQs, A9o+, KQo }
Hand 3: 23.1007 % { random}
while the call preflop may "price him in"... it certaintly does not price him in to call with ANY 2 as it is getting deep in the tournament and people aren't calling off 1200 chips with J9off just because they are getting the right pirce... calling preflop here is fine especially with no reads and him raising from utg+1
#11
Posted 01 December 2006 - 12:09 PM
i agree that BB definitely wants better than any 2 to call at this stage of the tourney, maybe a top 35% hand. i still don't know if flat calling is the best play. what's your flop line if BB folds and
1) the flop contains no overs?
2) the flop contains one over?
3) the flop contains two overs?
are you calling pre for set value only? that seems silly.
#12
Posted 01 December 2006 - 01:12 PM
Noone has mentioned this but I dont think leading the flop is a bad idea.
#13
Posted 01 December 2006 - 01:40 PM
Noone has mentioned this but I dont think leading the flop is a bad idea.
If we lead 2,400 BB folds and EP jams, we're getting 2.1-1 on the call. Assuming EP has a range of 88+, 66, 44, AhJh, AhQh, AhKh, then we're 34% to win and it'd be a call since that range is extremely tight.
If we lead 2,400 and both BB/EP go all-in and assuming they're both on that range, we're only 14% to win and it's a fold.
#14
Posted 01 December 2006 - 02:57 PM
Noone has mentioned this but I dont think leading the flop is a bad idea.
I said to open shove the flop. I still think its the right play.
#15
Posted 01 December 2006 - 03:11 PM
#16
Posted 04 December 2006 - 04:45 AM
Noone has mentioned this but I dont think leading the flop is a bad idea.
#17
Posted 04 December 2006 - 01:08 PM
0 user(s) are reading this topic
0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users










