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Tonite Ahl Goalie Advice For The Mustangs


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#1 serge

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 11:31 AM

So Daniel has no goalies tonite and I have the option of 3..

Any advice from the forum will be appreciated..

here is the options

TORONTO at home to the Islanders
COLORADO at Dallas
NASHVILLE at Columbus

I have gone with Toronto so far however i may change...Raycroft is back in goal tonite...All three teams have played really well defensively lately however Nashville has some erratic games
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#2 goose

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 11:38 AM

Nashville.
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#3 mrdannyg

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 11:51 AM

well colorado is obviously out. nashville is better than toronto, but the islanders really really suck, and columbus' offence is decent.

with the leafs at home, i'd go with them.

plus, the leafs rule.
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#4 goose

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 12:51 PM

QUOTE (mrdannyg @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 11:51 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
well colorado is obviously out. nashville is better than toronto, but the islanders really really suck, and columbus' offence is decent.

with the leafs at home, i'd go with them.

plus, the leafs rule.


Columbus does not have a decent offense right now. They are the lowest scoring team in the entire league, The Islanders are scoring, on average, upwards of half a goal more against their opponents per game than Columbus.

The only reason I would remotely consider not taking Nashville is because Columbus' power play has been the team's only bright spot, whereas Nashville's Penalty Killing has been poor lately... even that's not enough to change my mind though.

Also, Nashville has allowed 11 fewer goals this season than Toronto, and that includes the horrific start they got off to when Nabokov was injured.
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#5 ajs510

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 12:56 PM

I played Florida's goalies against the Isles on the basis that the Isles really, really suck, and they rang up 4 goals on me.

Go with Nashville. They're my starters tonight as well.
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#6 mrdannyg

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 01:11 PM

QUOTE (goose @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 4:51 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Columbus does not have a decent offense right now. They are the lowest scoring team in the entire league, The Islanders are scoring, on average, upwards of half a goal more against their opponents per game than Columbus.

The only reason I would remotely consider not taking Nashville is because Columbus' power play has been the team's only bright spot, whereas Nashville's Penalty Killing has been poor lately... even that's not enough to change my mind though.

Also, Nashville has allowed 11 fewer goals this season than Toronto, and that includes the horrific start they got off to when Nabokov was injured.


Nabokov?

Toronto has given up 11 more goals, in 3 more games. their GA/game is almost equal. Islanders do have way more goals than Columbus, so far. you've gotta figure columbus will average more than 2.17 GF/g.

home/away has to be a consideration, but its still close.

in terms of EV, it barely matters. On second thought though, with Kubina back, I'd go with Nashville.
Long-term bets:

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Brandt Snedeker to win US Money Title @ 26
(5) Broncos to win the AFC @ 11
(2.5) Broncos to win the SB @ 21
(2) Bears to win SB @ 42
(0.5) Red Sox to lead AL East @ 6.5
(1.5) White Sox to lead AL Central @ 17.25
Indians to lead AL Central @ 15
Nationals to lead NL East @ 9
(0.5) Marlins to lead NL East @ 6
Padres to lead NL West @ 29
(0.5) Rockies to lead NL West @ 6.5
(0.5) Cardinals to win NL @ 9

#7 nell789

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 01:38 PM

QUOTE (goose @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 1:38 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Nashville.


#8 Ottawa_Biatch

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 02:06 PM

Colorado is your best choice. You watch.
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#9 Belanger25

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 02:57 PM

QUOTE (Ottawa_Biatch @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 2:06 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Colorado is your best choice. You watch.


Agreed. Budaj 1 goal allowed in his last 2 games.
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#10 gruven

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 03:13 PM

Nashville: Columbus is in a bit of turmoil and turmoil affects production.

Second pick, Colorado. With Turco in the other net, could turn into a goaltender duel. Budaj has played well as of late....
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#11 serge

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 03:20 PM

QUOTE (gruven @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 3:13 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Nashville: Columbus is in a bit of turmoil and turmoil affects production.

Second pick, Colorado. With Turco in the other net, could turn into a goaltender duel. Budaj has played well as of late....

I decided to stick with Toronto...based on the other teams are on the road...Hopefully Raycroft wont give up 6
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#12 gruven

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 03:37 PM

QUOTE (serge @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 3:20 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I decided to stick with Toronto...based on the other teams are on the road...Hopefully Raycroft wont give up 6



Betting with your heart instead of your head, serge.... Raycroft with no game action for an extended period and a potentially bad groin.....
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#13 DanielNegreanu

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 03:58 PM

QUOTE (gruven @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 3:37 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Betting with your heart instead of your head, serge.... Raycroft with no game action for an extended period and a potentially bad groin.....


Dude, Serge would put the Leafs in the net at Buffalo even if Nashville was at home to the Kings, lol. He's die hard, give the kid a break biggrin.gif




#14 serge

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 04:06 PM

QUOTE (DanielNegreanu @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 3:58 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Dude, Serge would put the Leafs in the net at Buffalo even if Nashville was at home to the Kings, lol. He's die hard, give the kid a break biggrin.gif

I still think if you look at the numbers Leafs are the pick at home agaisnt the Islanders..Cant go with Colorado in Dallas and Nashville in Columbus is dangerous..

We will see if this costs me
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#15 mrdannyg

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 04:08 PM

QUOTE (gruven @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 7:37 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Betting with your heart instead of your head, serge.... Raycroft with no game action for an extended period and a potentially bad groin.....


we're leafs fans - going with our heads is obviously an option we long ago gave up on.

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Long-term bets:

(2) 76'ers to win title @ 31
Webb Simpson to win US Money Title @ 17
Brandt Snedeker to win US Money Title @ 26
(5) Broncos to win the AFC @ 11
(2.5) Broncos to win the SB @ 21
(2) Bears to win SB @ 42
(0.5) Red Sox to lead AL East @ 6.5
(1.5) White Sox to lead AL Central @ 17.25
Indians to lead AL Central @ 15
Nationals to lead NL East @ 9
(0.5) Marlins to lead NL East @ 6
Padres to lead NL West @ 29
(0.5) Rockies to lead NL West @ 6.5
(0.5) Cardinals to win NL @ 9

#16 gruven

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 04:26 PM

QUOTE (serge @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 11:31 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
So Daniel has no goalies tonite and I have the option of 3..

Any advice from the forum will be ignored..

here is the options

TORONTO at home to the Islanders
COLORADO at Dallas
NASHVILLE at Columbus

I have gone with Toronto so far however i may change...Raycroft is back in goal tonite...All three teams have played really well defensively lately however Nashville has some erratic games


FYP
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#17 serge

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 09:53 PM

QUOTE (gruven @ Monday, November 20th, 2006, 4:26 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
FYP


As it turns out my decision was not bad..Nashville gave up one but Toronto gave up 2...

I still think Toronto was the right pick...
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#18 goose

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Posted 20 November 2006 - 10:37 PM

Serge it wasn't the right move lol. I'll be as sure about starting goalies as I was about this one 5 times a year, maybe.

Even if Toronto shut out Boston, and Boston scored 3 goals on its own net, and Nashville let in 16, it would have still been the right decision at the time to start Nashville.
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#19 digitalmonkey

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Posted 21 November 2006 - 08:37 PM

Serge, why do you even need goalies when your team is so dominant?




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