DanielNegreanu 141 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Cheap Thieves (11-10-0)FORWARDS 1. Alexander Semin, WAS. OT 0.52. Jason Pominville, BUF. 03. Corey Perry, ANA. 4. Simon Gagne, PHI. 1.55. Alexei Kovalev, MON. 0.56. Jussi Jokinen, DAL. 0DEFENSE 7. Tom Poti, NYI. 08. Aaron Ward, NYR. 0 9. Sandis Ozolinsh, NYR. 0 10. Adam Foote, CLB. 0GOALIES SAN JOSE -1.5Ghosts of Elvis (9-12-0)FORWARDS Ryan Craig - Tampa 0Jason Blake - NYI 1Milan Hejduk - Col 0Joe Thornton - SJ - OT 1.5David Legwand - Nsh 2.5 Gilbert Brule - CBJ 0DEFENSE Brad Stuart - Bos 1 Dan Hamhuis - Nsh 0Ken Klee - Col 0Doug Janik - Tam 0GOALIES Buffalo Sabres -2*****************************************************************Cheap Thieves 1Ghosts of Elvis 4 F*****************************************************************Mustangs (9-11-1)FORWARDSJoe Sakic...Colorado...OT 1Paul Kariya....Nashville 1 Antti Miettinen...Dallas 0Dustin Penner...Anaheim 1Maxim Afinogenov..Buffalo 0Empty 0DEFENSETeppo Numminen..Buffalo 0Chris Pronger...Anaheim 0.5 Darryl Sydor...Dallas 0Sean Odonnell...Anaheim GOALNashville Goalies -2Canadian Gothic (10-11-0)FORWARDSP.J. Axelsson - BOS OTTyler Arnason - COL 0.5Anson Carter - CLB 0Kyle Calder - PHI Mike York - NYI 1 Brad Richardson- COL 0DEFENSESteve Eminger - WAS 0Janne Niinimaa - MTL 0Corey Sarich - TAM 0.5 Milan Jurcina- BOS 0GOALAnaheim Ducks -2.5*****************************************************************Mustangs 1.5Canadian Gothic -0.5*****************************************************************Rug Rats (16-5-0)Forwards: 1. Brendan Shanahan (NYR)(OT) 0.52. Patrick Marleau (SJ) 1.5 3. Scott Walker (CAR) 04. Saku Koivu (MON) 0.55. David Vyborny (CBJ) 0.5 6. Phil Kessel (BOS) 1Defense: 7. Bret Hedican (CAR) 08. Kyle McClaren (SJ) 19. N/A 010. N/A 0Goalies: Buffalo -2Smokin' T-Birds (5-16-0)SERGEI FEDOROV CBJ OT 0TREVOR LETOWSKI car 0IAN LAPERIERRE COL 0.5BOYD KANE PHI SAMUEL PAHLSSON ANA 1empty 0DEFENSE BRUNO GERVAIS NYI 0ROB DAVISON SJ 0 emty 0empty 0GOAL COLORADO -2*****************************************************************Rug Rats 3 FSmokin' T-Birds -0.5***************************************************************** Link to post Share on other sites
digitalmonkey 929 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Daniel, Christoph Schubert was changed to Milan Jurcina (BOS) and Nigel Dawes was changed to Brad Richardson (COL).Damn, another win for Elliot tonight. Link to post Share on other sites
SilverSeven 0 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Go Thieves ! You're up against the Buffalo goalies. Sens have gotta pull this one out. That was an intense 1st period, this will be good hockey game.Go Mustangs ! No offense Gothic, but you've got Arnason...Go T-Birds ! Take a win out of the East division. Those Rats have got to hit a roadbump sometime. Link to post Share on other sites
DanielNegreanu 141 Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 Go Thieves ! You're up against the Buffalo goalies. Sens have gotta pull this one out. That was an intense 1st period, this will be good hockey game.Go Mustangs ! No offense Gothic, but you've got Arnason...Go T-Birds ! Take a win out of the East division. Those Rats have got to hit a roadbump sometime. My game is going to come down to the wire for sure. A lot of my key players are in the late games. Link to post Share on other sites
serge 904 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 My game is going to come down to the wire for sure. A lot of my key players are in the late games.I need to put together a winning streak....And the ANAHEIM PHILLY game is key for me...if i keep it close till then..its mineI need to put together a winning streak....And the ANAHEIM PHILLY game is key for me...if i keep it close till then..its mineHere we go...Goals keep coming in for Gothic..York goal Sarich assist..Crap Link to post Share on other sites
DanielNegreanu 141 Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 One thing that really hasn't been discussed all that much, but man, the Gothic have been ridiculously lucky so far this year. Compare his offensive output to the rest of the division and he's supposed to be in last place. I think he'll end up there by season's end. Link to post Share on other sites
digitalmonkey 929 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 One thing that really hasn't been discussed all that much, but man, the Gothic have been ridiculously lucky so far this year. Compare his offensive output to the rest of the division and he's supposed to be in last place. I think he'll end up there by season's end.Serge, get off Daniel's account. Link to post Share on other sites
serge 904 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 One thing that really hasn't been discussed all that much, but man, the Gothic have been ridiculously lucky so far this year. Compare his offensive output to the rest of the division and he's supposed to be in last place. I think he'll end up there by season's end.Yeah exactly....i have been saying that all year....the cream rises ....as the Mustangs are rising we can see this take effect Link to post Share on other sites
digitalmonkey 929 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Yeah exactly....i have been saying that all year....the cream rises ....as the Mustangs are rising we can see this take effectThe Mustangs more closely resemble a festering boil.I've had almost no production from guys like Kyle Calder, Anson Carter, Janne Niinimaa, Steve Eminger, etc... Luckily Darcy Tucker (thanks Serge) picked up a lot of that slack. I'm expecting Tucker's production to decrease, but as my other guys start producing I should be okay. The Mustangs have no depth whatsoever (and no future).I'd propose a wager against my finishing last, but I don't want to influence my judgement. Zbynek Michalek ($0.25) is gonna be a 60 point D-man in 2 or 3 years. Book it! Link to post Share on other sites
DanielNegreanu 141 Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 The Mustangs more closely resemble a festering boil.I've had almost no production from guys like Kyle Calder, Anson Carter, Janne Niinimaa, Steve Eminger, etc... Luckily Darcy Tucker (thanks Serge) picked up a lot of that slack. I'm expecting Tucker's production to decrease, but as my other guys start producing I should be okay. The Mustangs have no depth whatsoever (and no future).I'd propose a wager against my finishing last, but I don't want to influence my judgement. Zbynek Michalek ($0.25) is gonna be a 60 point D-man in 2 or 3 years. Book it! All I'm saying is that when it comes to production your team isn't faring nearly as well as the other teams in the division yet you are at about .500. That's pretty lucky. Link to post Share on other sites
digitalmonkey 929 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 All I'm saying is that when it comes to production your team isn't faring nearly as well as the other teams in the division yet you are at about .500. That's pretty lucky.My point totals in my losses is usually a zero or a negative. I don't lose games 5-3 or 6-4. I'll lose 6-0, 2-0 or 9-2. My team is made up of 60-65 point guys at best. I don't have that 90 point guy so I don't win the high-scoring games. Fortunately for me, there just aren't that many high-scoring games in this league. I built this team just to have a chance at winning on any given night. A team like Serge's does lose those 6-4, 7-5 games. And the games that I might win 1-0 or 2-1 The Mustangs might win 4-0. The win-loss results are the same, but the goals for are lower in my case. Link to post Share on other sites
DanielNegreanu 141 Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 My point totals in my losses is usually a zero or a negative. I don't lose games 5-3 or 6-4. I'll lose 6-0, 2-0 or 9-2. My team is made up of 60-65 point guys at best. I don't have that 90 point guy so I don't win the high-scoring games. Fortunately for me, there just aren't that many high-scoring games in this league. I built this team just to have a chance at winning on any given night. A team like Serge's does lose those 6-4, 7-5 games. And the games that I might win 1-0 or 2-1 The Mustangs might win 4-0. The win-loss results are the same, but the goals for are lower in my case. That's a cute little justification but it really doesn't hold all that much weight unfortunatley. You are basically saying that you win games when your opponents have bad nights and you have ok nights. Duh, lol.The luck baromoter in this league is goals against. Teams are averaging 2.67 goals against my team. Your opponents are scoring only 1.90 goals against. If I would have been able to have your GAA so far this year my record would be MUCH better than yours. My team averages 2.29 goals a game, while your team averages just 1.33 goals a game.That's a cute little justification but it really doesn't hold all that much weight unfortunatley. You are basically saying that you win games when your opponents have bad nights and you have ok nights. Duh, lol.The luck baromoter in this league is goals against. Teams are averaging 2.67 goals against my team. Your opponents are scoring only 1.90 goals against. If I would have been able to have your GAA so far this year my record would be MUCH better than yours. My team averages 2.29 goals a game, while your team averages just 1.33 goals a game. You aren't the luckiest team, though, as the PK Dealers at 10-11-0 have faced just 1.38 goals against per game. WOW. Link to post Share on other sites
SilverSeven 0 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 The luck baromoter in this league is goals against. Teams are averaging 2.67 goals against my team. Your opponents are scoring only 1.90 goals against. You aren't the luckiest team, though, as the PK Dealers at 10-11-0 have faced just 1.38 goals against per game. WOW.Good call on the luck barometer. That's quite a large spread. pwn Link to post Share on other sites
digitalmonkey 929 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 That's a cute little justification but it really doesn't hold all that much weight unfortunatley. You are basically saying that you win games when your opponents have bad nights and you have ok nights. Duh, lol.How about this one...1. Opponent good night - Me good night 50/50 chance2. Opponent good night - Me average night LOSS3. Opponent good night - Me bad night LOSS4. Opponent average night - Me good night WIN5. Opponent average night - Me average night 50/50 chance6. Opponent average night - Me bad night LOSS8. Opponent bad night - Me good night WIN9. Opponent bad night - Me average night WIN10. Opponent bad night - Me bad night 50/50 chanceAn average team should be about .500 in this league.Good call on the luck barometer. That's quite a large spread. pwnIt's an oversimplification. There are a lot of luck factors in this league. For instance, players such as Nils Ekman will only score so many goals this season so when he scores 3 on a non-AHL game night that can be considered bad luck for me. Link to post Share on other sites
DanielNegreanu 141 Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 How about this one...1. Opponent good night - Me good night 50/50 chance2. Opponent good night - Me average night LOSS3. Opponent good night - Me bad night LOSS4. Opponent average night - Me good night WIN5. Opponent average night - Me average night 50/50 chance6. Opponent average night - Me bad night LOSS8. Opponent bad night - Me good night WIN9. Opponent bad night - Me average night WIN10. Opponent bad night - Me bad night 50/50 chanceAn average team should be about .500 in this league.It's an oversimplification. There are a lot of luck factors in this league. For instance, players such as Nils Ekman will only score so many goals this season so when he scores 3 on a non-AHL game night that can be considered bad luck for me. Way, way, off. You good night, opponent good night= 50/50 chance? Are you serious? Are you absolutely insane? So if you have a good night and Shoot Loose has a good night, you honestly beleive that's "50-50." No, no sir. Your opponent has a good night, and you lose. Unless you are playing Blackdraft, T-Birds, or Ravag.Way, way, off. You good night, opponent good night= 50/50 chance? Are you serious? Are you absolutely insane? So if you have a good night and Shoot Loose has a good night, you honestly beleive that's "50-50." No, no sir. Your opponent has a good night, and you lose. Unless you are playing Blackdraft, T-Birds, or Ravag. Also, if Shoot Loose has an AVERAGE night and you have a good night, you don't win my friend. You still get crushed.Way, way, off. You good night, opponent good night= 50/50 chance? Are you serious? Are you absolutely insane? So if you have a good night and Shoot Loose has a good night, you honestly beleive that's "50-50." No, no sir. Your opponent has a good night, and you lose. Unless you are playing Blackdraft, T-Birds, or Ravag. Also, if Shoot Loose has an AVERAGE night and you have a good night, you don't win my friend. You still get crushed. The problem with what you wrote is that your team just isn't as good as the other teams, so you can't simply day, "me good night, other team average night, I win." A Good night for you would be 3+ goals. For Tony B. that's either a bad night or an average night. Capish? Link to post Share on other sites
digitalmonkey 929 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Way, way, off. You good night, opponent good night= 50/50 chance? Are you serious? Are you absolutely insane? So if you have a good night and Shoot Loose has a good night, you honestly beleive that's "50-50." No, no sir. Your opponent has a good night, and you lose. Unless you are playing Blackdraft, T-Birds, or Ravag. Also, if Shoot Loose has an AVERAGE night and you have a good night, you don't win my friend. You still get crushed.It's averaged...Sure I would lose if both me and Tony had a good night, but if me and one of the other expansion teams (plus Ravag and a few others) both have good nights my win % will be better than 50%....it probably averages out to 50%. Link to post Share on other sites
DanielNegreanu 141 Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 It's averaged...Sure I would lose if both me and Tony had a good night, but if me and one of the other expansion teams (plus Ravag and a few others) both have good nights my win % will be better than 50%....it probably averages out to 50%. No, no, no, that's simply not true. There are more than 10 teams in the league that will produce more on an average night than you would on an average night. Link to post Share on other sites
digitalmonkey 929 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 No, no, no, that's simply not true. There are more than 10 teams in the league that will produce more on an average night than you would on an average night.I don't think so...A team like the Mustangs is top heavy. He will have a 6 goal night followed by a 0 goal night. He wins one and loses one and is averaging 3 gpg. I on the other hand will have a 3 goal night followed by a 1 goal night and also be 1-1 but my gpg will be 1.5.Did you buy the Ekman comment? Link to post Share on other sites
serge 904 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 No, no, no, that's simply not true. There are more than 10 teams in the league that will produce more on an average night than you would on an average night.While this GOOD NITE BAD NITE convo is going on...Philly put in 3 goals...Couple of goals by me I win..Come on Sakic,Pronger,Sydor,Penner,Odonnell, Miettinen Link to post Share on other sites
digitalmonkey 929 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 While this GOOD NITE BAD NITE convo is going on...Philly put in 3 goals...Couple of goals by me I win..Come on Sakic,Pronger,Sydor,Penner,Odonnell, MiettinenYeah, I'm having a bad night. You need to step up your bad night to average if you want the win. Link to post Share on other sites
serge 904 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Yeah, I'm having a bad night. You need to step up your bad night to average if you want the win. What a night for Philly to break out..I am favoured to win this game now...I might win it without any of my players getting anymore Link to post Share on other sites
digitalmonkey 929 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 5-1 ....awesome! Link to post Share on other sites
DanielNegreanu 141 Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 No, no, no, that's simply not true. There are more than 10 teams in the league that will produce more on an average night than you would on an average night. Let's take tonight for example. I am at 2 and am LOSING. You are at -0.5 and are WINNING, lol. Link to post Share on other sites
digitalmonkey 929 Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Let's take tonight for example. I am at 2 and am LOSING. You are at -0.5 and are WINNING, lol.my opponent is having a bad night as am I ....50/50you are having an average night while Darrell is having a good night. Link to post Share on other sites
DanielNegreanu 141 Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 GREAT news guys! Rats are LOSING.... you guys are tied now. Link to post Share on other sites
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