gigabit_2 0 Posted September 13, 2006 Share Posted September 13, 2006 Since football is scored in increments of 3, 7, 6, 8 and 2 points - in that order of regularity - certain pointspreads are much more significant than others. For example, a ½-point variance in a bookmaker’s posted pointspread from 3 is much more important than a ½-point variance from a pointspread of five. This is because football games are very likely to end with 3 points as a margin of victory, but not at all likely to end with a margin of victory of 5 points. About 14 percent of all NFL games end with a margin of victory of precisely 3 points, but only about one game in thirty will end with a pointspread of 5 points. Link to post Share on other sites
Dr_Shakes 0 Posted September 13, 2006 Share Posted September 13, 2006 Since football is scored in increments of 3, 7, 6, 8 and 2 points - in that order of regularity - certain pointspreads are much more significant than others. For example, a ½-point variance in a bookmaker’s posted pointspread from 3 is much more important than a ½-point variance from a pointspread of five. This is because football games are very likely to end with 3 points as a margin of victory, but not at all likely to end with a margin of victory of 5 points. About 14 percent of all NFL games end with a margin of victory of precisely 3 points, but only about one game in thirty will end with a pointspread of 5 points.How do I use this to make more mobney? Link to post Share on other sites
gigabit_2 0 Posted September 13, 2006 Author Share Posted September 13, 2006 The ten most meaningful pointspreads are 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, 11, 13, 14, and 17. (Not in that order, however.) Almost two-thirds of all NFL games can be expected to end with one or another of only those ten margins of victory. To bettors, a line move off one of those numbers can easily present either an opportunity or a trap. An underdog getting 3½ points, for example, is a much better bargain than the same underdog getting only 3 points. That extra ½-point means their opponents must upgrade a field goal to a touchdown in order to cover. And by the same token, an underdog getting only 2½ points is a much higher risk than the same underdog getting 3 points. A ½-point move from a pointspread of 3 can be more important than many much larger moves. An underdog getting 9½ points instead of 7½ points is hardly a better deal at all. Since games rarely end with a margin of victory of exactly 8 or 9 points, there's simply not much difference between getting 9½ points or 7½ points. If an underdog fails to cover 7½ points, they're not likely to cover 9½ points, either. Likewise, a favorite giving away 7½ points is hardly a better bet than the same favorite giving away 9½ points. If a team wins by more than 7½ points, they will almost always win by more than 9½ points. Link to post Share on other sites
cuddlemonkey 0 Posted September 13, 2006 Share Posted September 13, 2006 How do I use this to make more mobney?This dude averages 8 posts a day. You only average 1/10th of that number. Why should he tell you how to get all the mobney? Link to post Share on other sites
gigabit_2 0 Posted September 13, 2006 Author Share Posted September 13, 2006 i no understand you bad grammer cuddle monkey is har to read post like dis no? Link to post Share on other sites
Dr_Shakes 0 Posted September 14, 2006 Share Posted September 14, 2006 This dude averages 8 posts a day. You only average 1/10th of that number. Why should he tell you how to get all the mobney?He likes me?He likes Jennifer Harman?He likes listening to himself talk?I don't know, but I do find it interesting.Anyone got a counter argument? Link to post Share on other sites
wilheldp 0 Posted September 14, 2006 Share Posted September 14, 2006 The only score that an American football team cannot have is 1. I've seen games that ended at 4-2. Combinations of missed extra points, 2 point conversions and field goals can make some crazy scores. Nothing is out of the question. Link to post Share on other sites
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