ryansd 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 Ok so who is doing it for sure? Im in. Can't wait to see Big Ben pick apart the Dolphins...and putting an extra G in my pocket. Who else is going to root on the Steel curtain with me? Link to post Share on other sites
Zach6668 513 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 Will you stake me?Standard deal, you put the money up, we split profits 50/50, and you absorb the losses.- Zach Link to post Share on other sites
ryansd 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Author Share Posted August 28, 2006 haha, if it didnt require sending that much money to someone I don't know, for this bet...id do it in a heart beat. Wish there was another way haha.To hedge or not to hedge Link to post Share on other sites
AceJackOffS 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 what is the bet I haven't been reading tonight. Link to post Share on other sites
Zach6668 513 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 haha, if it didnt require sending that much money to someone I don't know, for this bet...id do it in a heart beat. Wish there was another way haha.To hedge or not to hedgelol, I'm sure the sw wasn't required Link to post Share on other sites
DanielSon 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 I'm in Biatches, no hedge! GOOO STEELERS!!! Link to post Share on other sites
Marchione 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 they got my 1150$go steelers gooooooo !!!!!!lets hope this doesnt turn out to be another bodog screw job Link to post Share on other sites
DanielSon 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 If it turns out to be a huge scam, they can have my $1100 for doing such a good job. I mean every gambling/poker/sports betting forum out there has threads about this and everyone is making the bet. It would be worth $1100 to see this be a scam...lol...But I hope it isn't.... Link to post Share on other sites
wilheldp 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 I'm in. No hedge. GO STEELERS! they got my 1150$Why $1150? The bet was $1100 to win $1000. Link to post Share on other sites
Marchione 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 mansion is 100% legit ~i just hope they dont pull this offer thats all ~ Link to post Share on other sites
Marchione 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 i am going to hedge a small amount just to cover my AZZZ Link to post Share on other sites
wilheldp 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 i am going to hedge a small amount just to cover my AZZZCover your azz from not losing anything?Without hedgeing, you are 50% (if the line is good) to win $1000, or a +EV of $500.With hedging, you are 100% to win $433 and change, for a +EV of $433 and change.I thought we were all in the business of making correct decisions made on the basis of expected value.Even partial hedging doesn't get you to an EV of $500. Hedging is just greedy. Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 Cover your azz from not losing anything?Without hedgeing, you are 50% (if the line is good) to win $1000, or a +EV of $500.With hedging, you are 100% to win $433 and change, for a +EV of $433 and change.I thought we were all in the business of making correct decisions made on the basis of expected value.Even partial hedging doesn't get you to an EV of $500. Hedging is just greedy. Agreed, I'm in, ALL OR NOTHING BABY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!GO STEELERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to post Share on other sites
alf13 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 I hate to break it to you all...But the Dolphins are gonna kick the crap out of the Steelers to open the season. Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 I hate to break it to you all...But the Dolphins are gonna kick the crap out of the Steelers to open the season.nothing ventured nothing gained Link to post Share on other sites
BlinkersOn 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 nothing ventured nothing gainedGL Alan.Buzzman Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 GL Alan.BuzzmanSup Buzz,You playing Thursday? I'll be there. Link to post Share on other sites
BlinkersOn 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 Don't know...was hanging at springwater yesterday and this young (for me ) woman wants to go to Shakespeare in the park thurs. at 7pm..I may stand her up! Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 Don't know...was hanging at springwater yesterday and this young (for me ) woman wants to go to Shakespeare in the park thurs. at 7pm..I may stand her up!ohhhhhh man poker vs woman .... good luck with that one.make ya a deal. you promise not to flop quads when i turn top full house and I'll promise not to bust you this week, sounds fair eh? Link to post Share on other sites
Knight_Owl 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 I hate to break it to you all...But the Dolphins are gonna kick the crap out of the Steelers to open the season.you have stats or game historys between these two teams to prove it?btw I"m In! Link to post Share on other sites
BlinkersOn 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 ohhhhhh man poker vs woman .... good luck with that one.make ya a deal. you promise not to flop quads when i turn top full house and I'll promise not to bust you this week, sounds fair eh?Deal! I don't want to sit at your table until we're down to 10. Link to post Share on other sites
mrdannyg 274 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 Cover your azz from not losing anything?Without hedgeing, you are 50% (if the line is good) to win $1000, or a +EV of $500.With hedging, you are 100% to win $433 and change, for a +EV of $433 and change.I thought we were all in the business of making correct decisions made on the basis of expected value.Even partial hedging doesn't get you to an EV of $500. Hedging is just greedy. i just realized that recently, and am rethinking hedging. i'll probably put up a small hedge to guarantee myself $100 or so, which will have an EV of about $480, but that's just because i'm a coward. Link to post Share on other sites
alf13 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Share Posted August 28, 2006 you have stats or game historys between these two teams to prove it?btw I"m In! There is some history as far as the Dolphins in the opener as an underdog. (Serious trend)There is even more history as far as The Dolphins in the opener outright.As far as styles...the Dolphins are gonna be really good against the run this year, and play "safer coverages" on passing downs, which should keep the score down....so you then go to which Offense is more capable of scoring points...I would take Culpepper, Brown, McMichael, Chambers, Booker in that battle. Link to post Share on other sites
ryansd 0 Posted August 28, 2006 Author Share Posted August 28, 2006 I agree, I think the Dolphins are really good. Thats why Im hedging Link to post Share on other sites
Mattafuga 0 Posted August 29, 2006 Share Posted August 29, 2006 I've placed my bet too, no hedging. I'd be offending my Buffalo Bill blood if I thought there was a slightest chance in all 16 games that Miami could win once. Maybe the best thing we all could do to "hedge" it, is put whatever money we would hedge it with towards a hitman to go after key Dolphin players... If you want $90 for sure (via NETeller), sign up for MANSION through the affiliate in my signature. The bet clears the wagering requirements. Link to post Share on other sites
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