BeaverStyle 1 Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 Standard stuff: Call or fold?PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Hero (t2015)UTG (t3885)Button (t1940)SB (t5660)Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, 6. 1 fold, Button raises to t1940, [sB foldsHero? Link to post Share on other sites
XXEddie 0 Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 calling 1500 to win 2500 if my math is right. I think you need just a little more than 3:2 to callfold Link to post Share on other sites
subsin 0 Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 fold i want first in vigor Link to post Share on other sites
dunkitish 0 Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 Fold unless ur really trying to accumulate chips, which I doubt Link to post Share on other sites
tripdeuces 0 Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 First in vigor is hte name of the game. No need to call of your chips with a hand you are surely behind. Link to post Share on other sites
Actuary 3 Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 first in Vigor with an M < 3 ?but, yeah, I'd fold here.Close though.your stack can still make the BB fold next hand, and maybe youll get something all little better.also, never underestimate the chance that two others tangle and you slide into the money.We all like to push like Harrington tells us; but at sometables, enough action happens that you can back into the money; and with stacks where they are, that could happen here, espcially if they are calling the pushes more often than not Link to post Share on other sites
simo_8ball 1 Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 I'm guessing payout structure of 50/30/20?If so, this isn't close. Fold.As it stands:---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 12015.000000-----0.1493-----0.1931-----0.2795-----$18.85Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3065-----0.2560-----$28.71Player 31940.000000-----0.1437-----0.1870-----0.2737-----$18.27Player 45660.000000-----0.4193-----0.3133-----0.1908-----$34.18Fold:---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 11615.000000-----0.1196-----0.1573-----0.2371-----$15.44Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3012-----0.2610-----$28.65Player 32540.000000-----0.1881-----0.2294-----0.3010-----$22.31Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3121-----0.2010-----$33.60Call + win---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 14155.000000-----0.3078-----0.3334-----0.3588-----$32.57Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3234-----0.3888-----$31.87Player 30000.000000-----0.0000-----0.0000-----0.0000-----$0.00Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3432-----0.2523-----$35.57Call + lose---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 10075.000000-----0.0056-----0.0084-----0.0170-----$0.87Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3217-----0.3779-----$31.60Player 34080.000000-----0.3022-----0.3290-----0.3571-----$32.12Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3409-----0.2480-----$35.41So, the important figures here are:Before the hand, our equity is $18.85.Action-------EquityFold---------$15.44Call/Win-----$32.57Call/Lose----$0.87By calling, our potential gain is $32.57 - $15.44 = $17.13,and our potential loss is $15.44 - $0.87 = $14.57.What this means is, our ratio of loss to gain is $14.57/$17.13 = 0.85, so we need 1 - 1/(0.85 + 1) = 46% in order to make this a break even call.If we know he pushes with ANY two cards, we have 45% equity. Any range other than totally random and we are worse. We all like to push like Harrington tells us; but at sometables, enough action happens that you can back into the money; and with stacks where they are, that could happen here, espcially if they are calling the pushes more often than notIn vol.3 he explains that bubble play in sitngos requires extremely tight play because of the standard flat 50/30/20 payout. Going for the win is not as profitable as in multitables. Link to post Share on other sites
BeaverStyle 1 Posted August 26, 2006 Author Share Posted August 26, 2006 I'm guessing payout structure of 50/30/20?If so, this isn't close. Fold.As it stands:---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 12015.000000-----0.1493-----0.1931-----0.2795-----$18.85Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3065-----0.2560-----$28.71Player 31940.000000-----0.1437-----0.1870-----0.2737-----$18.27Player 45660.000000-----0.4193-----0.3133-----0.1908-----$34.18Fold:---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 11615.000000-----0.1196-----0.1573-----0.2371-----$15.44Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3012-----0.2610-----$28.65Player 32540.000000-----0.1881-----0.2294-----0.3010-----$22.31Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3121-----0.2010-----$33.60Call + win---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 14155.000000-----0.3078-----0.3334-----0.3588-----$32.57Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3234-----0.3888-----$31.87Player 30000.000000-----0.0000-----0.0000-----0.0000-----$0.00Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3432-----0.2523-----$35.57Call + lose---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 10075.000000-----0.0056-----0.0084-----0.0170-----$0.87Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3217-----0.3779-----$31.60Player 34080.000000-----0.3022-----0.3290-----0.3571-----$32.12Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3409-----0.2480-----$35.41So, the important figures here are:Before the hand, our equity is $18.85.Action-------EquityFold---------$15.44Call/Win-----$32.57Call/Lose----$0.87By calling, our potential gain is $32.57 - $15.44 = $17.13,and our potential loss is $15.44 - $0.87 = $14.57.What this means is, our ratio of loss to gain is $14.57/$17.13 = 0.85, so we need 1 - 1/(0.85 + 1) = 46% in order to make this a break even call.If we know he pushes with ANY two cards, we have 45% equity. Any range other than totally random and we are worse.In vol.3 he explains that bubble play in sitngos requires extremely tight play because of the standard flat 50/30/20 payout. Going for the win is not as profitable as in multitables.Great breakdown and analysis sir, well doneI did fold, and ended up doubling shortly thereafter and actually ended up winning..Wasnt sure at the time if it was the right fold, but it appears it was...Ty all Link to post Share on other sites
Actuary 3 Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 In vol.3 he explains that bubble play in sitngos requires extremely tight play because of the standard flat 50/30/20 payout. Going for the win is not as profitable as in multitables.that's what I hear.Maybe too tight according to proxy quotes I hear..but no 1st hand info.After reading I probably misapplied some HOH2 ideas and was pushing slightly too hard to early in STT's. Whereas before I always just prayed others would knock each other out.somewhere in between is where I hope to land Link to post Share on other sites
simo_8ball 1 Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 I think Harrington's advice is fairly solid, but a little too tight. I think it can't be too much of a mistake playing overly tight (you won't lose much equity), whereas playing too loose can be very harmful.I was actually disppointed that his section on bubble play dealt exclusively with hand ranges for calling an allin. He does not give any examples of, say, what to do on the button with QJ or A6 and high blinds if it is folded to you. His ranges for calling allin make for serious strategy changes, so I would expect that normal strategy would be affected significantly as well.I believe it is somewhat of a glaring error to have a full chapter on bubble play and only consider one small aspect of it....but that boys and girls, is a story for another thread. Link to post Share on other sites
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