Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Standard stuff: Call or fold?PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Hero (t2015)UTG (t3885)Button (t1940)SB (t5660)Preflop: Hero is BB with 7spade.gif, 6spade.gif. 1 fold, Button raises to t1940, [sB foldsHero?

Link to post
Share on other sites

first in Vigor with an M < 3 ?but, yeah, I'd fold here.Close though.your stack can still make the BB fold next hand, and maybe youll get something all little better.also, never underestimate the chance that two others tangle and you slide into the money.We all like to push like Harrington tells us; but at sometables, enough action happens that you can back into the money; and with stacks where they are, that could happen here, espcially if they are calling the pushes more often than not

Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm guessing payout structure of 50/30/20?If so, this isn't close. Fold.As it stands:---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 12015.000000-----0.1493-----0.1931-----0.2795-----$18.85Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3065-----0.2560-----$28.71Player 31940.000000-----0.1437-----0.1870-----0.2737-----$18.27Player 45660.000000-----0.4193-----0.3133-----0.1908-----$34.18Fold:---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 11615.000000-----0.1196-----0.1573-----0.2371-----$15.44Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3012-----0.2610-----$28.65Player 32540.000000-----0.1881-----0.2294-----0.3010-----$22.31Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3121-----0.2010-----$33.60Call + win---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 14155.000000-----0.3078-----0.3334-----0.3588-----$32.57Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3234-----0.3888-----$31.87Player 30000.000000-----0.0000-----0.0000-----0.0000-----$0.00Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3432-----0.2523-----$35.57Call + lose---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 10075.000000-----0.0056-----0.0084-----0.0170-----$0.87Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3217-----0.3779-----$31.60Player 34080.000000-----0.3022-----0.3290-----0.3571-----$32.12Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3409-----0.2480-----$35.41So, the important figures here are:Before the hand, our equity is $18.85.Action-------EquityFold---------$15.44Call/Win-----$32.57Call/Lose----$0.87By calling, our potential gain is $32.57 - $15.44 = $17.13,and our potential loss is $15.44 - $0.87 = $14.57.What this means is, our ratio of loss to gain is $14.57/$17.13 = 0.85, so we need 1 - 1/(0.85 + 1) = 46% in order to make this a break even call.If we know he pushes with ANY two cards, we have 45% equity. Any range other than totally random and we are worse.

We all like to push like Harrington tells us; but at sometables, enough action happens that you can back into the money; and with stacks where they are, that could happen here, espcially if they are calling the pushes more often than not
In vol.3 he explains that bubble play in sitngos requires extremely tight play because of the standard flat 50/30/20 payout. Going for the win is not as profitable as in multitables.
Link to post
Share on other sites
I'm guessing payout structure of 50/30/20?If so, this isn't close. Fold.As it stands:---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 12015.000000-----0.1493-----0.1931-----0.2795-----$18.85Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3065-----0.2560-----$28.71Player 31940.000000-----0.1437-----0.1870-----0.2737-----$18.27Player 45660.000000-----0.4193-----0.3133-----0.1908-----$34.18Fold:---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 11615.000000-----0.1196-----0.1573-----0.2371-----$15.44Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3012-----0.2610-----$28.65Player 32540.000000-----0.1881-----0.2294-----0.3010-----$22.31Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3121-----0.2010-----$33.60Call + win---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 14155.000000-----0.3078-----0.3334-----0.3588-----$32.57Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3234-----0.3888-----$31.87Player 30000.000000-----0.0000-----0.0000-----0.0000-----$0.00Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3432-----0.2523-----$35.57Call + lose---Chips----------%1st------%2nd------%3rd------EquityPlayer 10075.000000-----0.0056-----0.0084-----0.0170-----$0.87Player 23885.000000-----0.2878-----0.3217-----0.3779-----$31.60Player 34080.000000-----0.3022-----0.3290-----0.3571-----$32.12Player 45460.000000-----0.4044-----0.3409-----0.2480-----$35.41So, the important figures here are:Before the hand, our equity is $18.85.Action-------EquityFold---------$15.44Call/Win-----$32.57Call/Lose----$0.87By calling, our potential gain is $32.57 - $15.44 = $17.13,and our potential loss is $15.44 - $0.87 = $14.57.What this means is, our ratio of loss to gain is $14.57/$17.13 = 0.85, so we need 1 - 1/(0.85 + 1) = 46% in order to make this a break even call.If we know he pushes with ANY two cards, we have 45% equity. Any range other than totally random and we are worse.In vol.3 he explains that bubble play in sitngos requires extremely tight play because of the standard flat 50/30/20 payout. Going for the win is not as profitable as in multitables.
Great breakdown and analysis sir, well doneI did fold, and ended up doubling shortly thereafter and actually ended up winning..Wasnt sure at the time if it was the right fold, but it appears it was...Ty all
Link to post
Share on other sites
In vol.3 he explains that bubble play in sitngos requires extremely tight play because of the standard flat 50/30/20 payout. Going for the win is not as profitable as in multitables.
that's what I hear.Maybe too tight according to proxy quotes I hear..but no 1st hand info.After reading I probably misapplied some HOH2 ideas and was pushing slightly too hard to early in STT's. Whereas before I always just prayed others would knock each other out.somewhere in between is where I hope to land
Link to post
Share on other sites

I think Harrington's advice is fairly solid, but a little too tight. I think it can't be too much of a mistake playing overly tight (you won't lose much equity), whereas playing too loose can be very harmful.I was actually disppointed that his section on bubble play dealt exclusively with hand ranges for calling an allin. He does not give any examples of, say, what to do on the button with QJ or A6 and high blinds if it is folded to you. His ranges for calling allin make for serious strategy changes, so I would expect that normal strategy would be affected significantly as well.I believe it is somewhat of a glaring error to have a full chapter on bubble play and only consider one small aspect of it....but that boys and girls, is a story for another thread.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...