Kk Utg + 1
#1
Posted 19 August 2006 - 06:30 AM
Hero dealt KK utg + 1
blinds 20/40
UTG limps, Hero raises to 120, SB calls, UTG calls
Flop: (400, 3 players)
Q75r
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets 300, SB calls, UTG folds
Turn (1000, 2 players)
J
SB checks, Hero bets 800, SB raises to 1580 (all in), Hero calls
#2
Posted 19 August 2006 - 06:50 AM
When he raises all in I'd be hoping he had AQ. I think you had to call but I'd be scared of 2 pair.
Could you PM me the results?
#3
Posted 19 August 2006 - 07:19 AM
flop bet is fine
turn bet a bit less - 600 gets the job done - or check behind
fold to what appears to be two pair or a set - you've still got 780 in chips here.
#4
Posted 19 August 2006 - 07:28 AM
flop bet is fine
turn bet a bit less - 600 gets the job done - or check behind
fold to what appears to be two pair or a set - you've still got 780 in chips here.
i really hate the idea of giving a free card here, could you defend your reasoning for checking behind?
I think an overriding factor here is that most 10 dollar sng players are calling with any queen and maybe less.
#5
Posted 19 August 2006 - 07:43 AM
I think an overriding factor here is that most 10 dollar sng players are calling with any queen and maybe less.
Im leery of someone calling me on that board. There are just some straight draws out there. You're right that some players will call with a Q, but I'd have to think that most non-two pair queens attack the flop.
I do prefer to bet the turn, don't get me wrong, but I don't think it's criminal to check behind with just a pair here.
#6
Posted 19 August 2006 - 08:21 AM
i know i f'ed up pf, i need to raise to like 200
#7
Posted 19 August 2006 - 08:22 AM
Small pots for small hands.
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#8
Posted 21 August 2006 - 07:53 AM
Small pots for small hands.
And call how much on the river?
#9
Posted 21 August 2006 - 08:20 AM
Small pots for small hands.
I'm not sure if I call an overpair a small hand..
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#10
Posted 21 August 2006 - 08:26 AM
It's a "small hand" so he's obviously folding to any bet. :shakes head:
Bet the turn, call the check-raise. It's a $10 SNG; you are much better off going for value.
I don't understand how copernicus can conclude from the villain's preflop call and flop call that this is a set or two pair. It could be quite a few hands (90%+ of which we are beating) up until we get check-raised. After the check-raise, we're most likely a dog to his range, but the pot is laying like 3.5:1 and we aren't drawing dead.
#11
Posted 21 August 2006 - 08:32 AM
I don't know this could be one of my other leaks, but in a SNG, my chips are going in the middle. If he has 2 pair so be it. He could've seen your flop bet as weak though, although I think your flop bet was fine as was your preflop raise. There are times that I might check the turn, but this guy could just have the Q, but it is possible that he called with QJ or a pp and hit his set, if he called with any other combination there he's an idiot. But otherthan that, my chips are sill going in the middle.
Besides after your river bet your committed anyway, you have to call. In SNGs like these where stacks aren't that deep you have to push.
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#12
Posted 21 August 2006 - 08:42 AM
Bet the turn, call the check-raise. It's a $10 SNG; you are much better off going for value.
I don't understand how copernicus can conclude from the villain's preflop call and flop call that this is a set or two pair. It could be quite a few hands (90%+ of which we are beating) up until we get check-raised. After the check-raise, we're most likely a dog to his range, but the pot is laying like 3.5:1 and we aren't drawing dead.
He didn't conclude that it's a set or 2 pair based on the pf and flop call - he concluded that it's a set or 2 pair based on the pf and flop call and the turn C/R. Big difference.
3.5:1...and we likely have two outs. How are those odds good?
#13
Posted 21 August 2006 - 08:49 AM
3.5:1...and we likely have two outs. How are those odds good?
we have more that 2 outs vs QJ.
and we also have the best hand say 25% conservatively.
I'd say we have a better chance making money by calling here than folding with 800 left 10 handed.
is it just me or does Copernicus always post as if he wants to justify bad calls by villain or to suggest we should fold. Almost seems results biased, assuming he presumes poster loses. What's good for goose not good for gander?
#14
Posted 21 August 2006 - 08:50 AM
3.5:1...and we likely have two outs. How are those odds good?
Exactly, trystero, ty.
as far as an overpair being a small hand, yes, I think it is. What does it beat that is going to play against you other than TPGK? Big vs small is not just a matter of hand strength, its a combination of hand strength and earning potential...ie potential reward for the risk. AA is a small hand after a fairly dry flop but still meets resistence.
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#15
Posted 21 August 2006 - 08:59 AM
not in a $10 SnG.
#16
Posted 21 August 2006 - 09:05 AM
This is the key here imho..In a $100 sng, I would be more apt to agree with you Copernicus..But this is a $10 sng and its the 2nd hand..I wish I had the hand history but basically on the 2nd hand of one I played yesterday, the board was something like K 10 xxx 2 clubs, and someone with Jack 7 clubs decided to stick it all in there on the river and get called by KQ..This kind of play isn't abnormal..I wouldn't be suprised one bit if the villian had Ace 7, Ace 5, Queen 9, 10, Jack, King, Ace...There are just too many donkeys in $10 stt to give Villain credit for beating our overpair here
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#17
Posted 21 August 2006 - 09:09 AM
QFT
Sort of what I was trying to say.
I mean in these $10 SNGs you get players calling raises with A4 and getting it all in on flop/turn only to find out they're dominated by like AQ or something. At times they get lucky and they pair up thier weak kicker.
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#18
Posted 21 August 2006 - 12:49 PM
3.5:1...and we likely have two outs. How are those odds good?
Those odds are good because we don't have to be wrong very often on the "he can only have a set or two pair here" thinking for this fold to be a bad one. Also, as actuary said, we're not drawing to 2 outs against 2 pair.
#19
Posted 21 August 2006 - 01:15 PM
Ive never played $10 SnGs, so I am frequently guilty of assuming that players are rational and competent. If they arent then hand reading becomes impossible and the entire game is based on better pre-flop calling standards and extracting chips from calling stations with high value hands.
Actuary...a highly insulting post. If you find inconsistencies between similar situations that are results based, back it up.
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#20
Posted 21 August 2006 - 01:19 PM
QFT. Low limit tournaments are all about getting value. Not value-betting AA is probably worse than going broke with it when you "know" you're beat, at least when it comes to low limit STTs and MTTs.
I misunderstood you in my earlier reply. My apologies.
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